Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12PM ET
YES Price
60¢
60% implied
NO Price
40¢
40% implied
Volume
$4.3K
307 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 129 traders · 9 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
14 YESvs11 NO
56%44%
56% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 84% YES by dollars · 10 YES vs 4 NO taking a side · 2 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 69%· net of hedges
+76 new YES$4.0K+94 new NO$2.7K
$3.4K of this was bought on both sides by the same 35 buyers — left out of momentum
12 smart whales11 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 80% of the money is not a bet
$360 of $520 is held equally on both sides by 2 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $58 is hedged across different prices by 7 wallets. True directional: YES $85·NO $17YES Team
Total Invested
$294
Avg Win Rate
58.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$20(+6.9%)
Whales
14
H
highpolis🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$90
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $90 · WR 56.7%
P
polpotatoes🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $90 · WR 55.4%
B
Basir880🥉
Entry 54¢·45.7 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $25 · WR 68.8%
P
ponymarketsuckshedged
Entry 66¢·27.5 shares·also $3 on NO
Invested
$18
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $18 · WR 56.9%
J
JSMongolia
Entry 50¢·32 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
68.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $16 · WR 68.0%
B
0xbd5cf4d4...hedged
Entry 76¢·15.8 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$12
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $12 · WR 56.8%
1
1897934297hedged
Entry 56¢·20 shares·also $8 on NO
Invested
$11
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $11 · WR 56.0%
S
SPREAD-TESTENVhedged
Entry 69¢·10 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$7
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $7 · WR 59.4%
S
squidfruitnethedged
Entry 55¢·10 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$5
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 55.1%
I
Internal-Cue
Entry 66¢·7.8 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 64.3%
Showing top 10 of 14
NO Team
Total Invested
$225
Avg Win Rate
57.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$11(-4.9%)
Whales
11
H
highpolis🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $90 · WR 56.7%
P
polpotatoes🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $90 · WR 55.4%
H
haijkdl🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·20 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$10
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $10 · WR 74.6%
I
Impeccable-Sakehedged
Entry 29¢·29.3 shares·also $3 on YES
Invested
$8
Win Rate
62.0%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $8 · WR 62.0%
1
1897934297hedged
Entry 36¢·23.1 shares·also $11 on YES
Invested
$8
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $8 · WR 56.0%
S
squidfruitnethedged
Entry 20¢·21.3 shares·also $5 on YES
Invested
$4
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $4 · WR 55.1%
S
SPREAD-TESTENVhedged
Entry 42¢·10 shares·also $7 on YES
Invested
$4
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 59.4%
P
Prestigious-Light
Entry 31¢·10 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $3 · WR 55.0%
P
ponymarketsuckshedged
Entry 28¢·10.9 shares·also $18 on YES
Invested
$3
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $3 · WR 56.9%
B
0xbd5cf4d4...hedged
Entry 42¢·5 shares·also $12 on YES
Invested
$2
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 56.8%
Showing top 10 of 11
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