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Resolved

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$243
1,574 trades
Smart Whales
71
of 639 traders · 17 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

25 YESvs63 NO
28%72%
72% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 5% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 49 NO taking a side · 7 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 88%· net of hedges
+307 new YES$5.0K+435 new NO$23.9K
$4.2K of this was bought on both sides by the same 136 buyers — left out of momentum
19 smart whales61 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 68% of the money is not a bet
$855 of $10.8K is held equally on both sides by 6 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $6.5K is hedged across different prices by 11 wallets. True directional: YES $159·NO $3.4K
YES Team
Total Invested
$3.8K
Avg Win Rate
58.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$3.7K(-96.6%)
Whales
25
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·5,486.8 shares·also $2.8K on NO
$-2661INV $2.7K · WR 57.7%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·863 shares·also $388 on NO
$-419INV $432 · WR 57.2%
B
bubblebust🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·670 shares·also $338 on NO
$-325INV $335 · WR 55.0%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·82.1 shares·also $48 on NO
$-40INV $41 · WR 56.5%
J
justatrialofmoney
Entry 17¢·234 shares
$-35INV $39 · WR 57.2%
L
loseurselfboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-36INV $38 · WR 83.9%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 25¢·130.7 shares·also $174 on NO
$-31INV $32 · WR 55.1%
S
Slow-Minute
Entry 22¢·130 shares
$-26INV $28 · WR 94.8%
O
orangelinboth sides
Entry 50¢·50 shares·also $25 on NO
$-24INV $25 · WR 78.4%
5
5ffpa4fhedged
Entry 49¢·50 shares·also $2 on NO
$-24INV $25 · WR 56.6%
Showing top 10 of 25

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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