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Resolved

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$240
1,555 trades
Smart Whales
78
of 677 traders · 17 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

28 YESvs67 NO
30%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 2% YES by dollars · 11 YES vs 60 NO taking a side · 4 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 94%· net of hedges
+308 new YES$4.0K+491 new NO$36.0K
$3.3K of this was bought on both sides by the same 158 buyers — left out of momentum
23 smart whales64 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 66% of the money is not a bet
$726 of $13.3K is held equally on both sides by 3 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $8.1K is hedged across different prices by 14 wallets. True directional: YES $77·NO $4.4K
YES Team
Total Invested
$4.5K
Avg Win Rate
57.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$4.5K(-99.8%)
Whales
28
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·7,030.9 shares·also $3.9K on NO
$-3512INV $3.5K · WR 57.7%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·775.3 shares·also $429 on NO
$-387INV $388 · WR 57.2%
B
bubblebust🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·680 shares·also $339 on NO
$-340INV $340 · WR 55.0%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $45 on NO
$-37INV $38 · WR 56.5%
L
loseurselfhedged
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $186 on NO
$-37INV $38 · WR 83.9%
O
orangelinhedged
Entry 50¢·50 shares·also $124 on NO
$-25INV $25 · WR 78.4%
J
jocarlo
Entry 37¢·64.5 shares
$-24INV $24 · WR 56.9%
T
Tender-Ideahedged
Entry 33¢·65 shares·also $21 on NO
$-21INV $22 · WR 77.0%
X
Xx7777
Entry 26¢·80 shares
$-21INV $21 · WR 56.3%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on NO
$-18INV $19 · WR 58.0%
Showing top 10 of 28

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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