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Resolved

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$35
1,201 trades
Smart Whales
92
of 673 traders · 16 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

35 YESvs73 NO
32%68%
68% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 19 YES vs 61 NO taking a side · 7 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 96%· net of hedges
+329 new YES$2.1K+436 new NO$31.5K
$1.5K of this was bought on both sides by the same 119 buyers — left out of momentum
26 smart whales70 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 71% of the money is not a bet
$9.3K of $14.5K is held equally on both sides by 7 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $968 is hedged across different prices by 9 wallets. True directional: YES $48·NO $4.2K
YES Team
Total Invested
$5.2K
Avg Win Rate
58.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$5.2K(-99.7%)
Whales
35
A
arcsine-barrister🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·7,990 shares·also $4.0K on NO
$-3983INV $4.0K · WR 57.8%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·820 shares·also $424 on NO
$-409INV $410 · WR 56.8%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·750 shares·also $375 on NO
$-374INV $375 · WR 56.3%
Q
QuadBTCboth sides
Entry 50¢·300 shares·also $150 on NO
$-150INV $150 · WR 58.0%
L
loseurselfboth sides
Entry 50¢·150 shares·also $75 on NO
$-75INV $75 · WR 84.1%
O
orangelinboth sides
Entry 50¢·90 shares·also $45 on NO
$-45INV $45 · WR 78.1%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·85 shares·also $40 on NO
$-42INV $43 · WR 55.5%
N
notlikethathedged
Entry 50¢·40 shares·also $25 on NO
$-20INV $20 · WR 67.6%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on NO
$-18INV $19 · WR 58.0%
S
Safe-Howitzer-Ecliptic
Entry 31¢·40.4 shares
$-12INV $13 · WR 56.3%
Showing top 10 of 35

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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