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Resolved

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$22.1K
1,561 trades
Smart Whales
84
of 752 traders · 18 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

39 YESvs63 NO
38%62%
62% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 8% YES by dollars · 23 YES vs 55 NO taking a side · 5 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 75%· net of hedges
+406 new YES$9.6K+514 new NO$19.9K
$8.7K of this was bought on both sides by the same 204 buyers — left out of momentum
34 smart whales59 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 83% of the money is not a bet
$998 of $11.2K is held equally on both sides by 4 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $8.3K is hedged across different prices by 14 wallets. True directional: YES $149·NO $1.7K
YES Team
Total Invested
$4.8K
Avg Win Rate
58.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$4.8K(-98.9%)
Whales
39
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·7,143.4 shares·also $4.0K on NO
$-3536INV $3.6K · WR 57.8%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·752.7 shares·also $381 on NO
$-373INV $376 · WR 56.8%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·750 shares·also $373 on NO
$-371INV $375 · WR 56.3%
Q
QuadBTChedged
Entry 50¢·238.6 shares·also $150 on NO
$-118INV $119 · WR 58.0%
L
loseurselfboth sides
Entry 50¢·150 shares·also $75 on NO
$-74INV $75 · WR 84.1%
O
orangelinboth sides
Entry 50¢·90 shares·also $45 on NO
$-45INV $45 · WR 78.1%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·80 shares·also $38 on NO
$-40INV $40 · WR 55.5%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 41¢·91.8 shares·also $74 on NO
$-37INV $37 · WR 55.0%
P
Pitercius
Entry 54¢·48.2 shares
$-26INV $26 · WR 59.3%
B
0xb2b4ec88...
Entry 53¢·39.9 shares
$-21INV $21 · WR 55.5%
Showing top 10 of 39

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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