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Resolved

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$23.6K
1,821 trades
Smart Whales
119
of 845 traders · 29 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

46 YESvs102 NO
31%69%
69% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 26% YES by dollars · 18 YES vs 54 NO taking a side · 14 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 90%· net of hedges
+408 new YES$8.5K+608 new NO$43.5K
$8.4K of this was bought on both sides by the same 201 buyers — left out of momentum
40 smart whales91 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 90% of the money is not a bet
$8.9K of $14.1K is held equally on both sides by 13 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $3.7K is hedged across different prices by 16 wallets. True directional: YES $374·NO $1.1K
YES Team
Total Invested
$6.8K
Avg Win Rate
58.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$6.7K(-98.8%)
Whales
46
A
arcsine-barrister🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·7,912 shares·also $3.9K on NO
$-3916INV $4.0K · WR 58.1%
N
Neat-Warlock-Killing🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·2,266.2 shares·also $995 on NO
$-1122INV $1.1K · WR 56.2%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·854.5 shares·also $420 on NO
$-423INV $427 · WR 56.8%
B
bleedingmoneyboth sides
Entry 50¢·740.2 shares·also $370 on NO
$-366INV $370 · WR 57.8%
E
0xe1e556d1...hedged
Entry 50¢·740 shares·also $375 on NO
$-366INV $370 · WR 56.3%
L
Lonely-Dresserhedged
Entry 68¢·69.9 shares·also $21 on NO
$-48INV $48 · WR 65.9%
O
orangelinboth sides
Entry 50¢·90 shares·also $45 on NO
$-45INV $45 · WR 78.1%
E
EZTRADNL1
Entry 60¢·70 shares
$-42INV $42 · WR 60.5%
W
Which-Crawdad
Entry 59¢·70.2 shares
$-41INV $41 · WR 60.9%
_
_test_i075_T1
Entry 49¢·52.3 shares
$-26INV $26 · WR 57.3%
Showing top 10 of 46

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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