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Resolved

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$18.8K
954 trades
Smart Whales
79
of 548 traders · 25 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

34 YESvs70 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 2% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 54 NO taking a side · 10 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 84%· net of hedges
+233 new YES$3.9K+381 new NO$15.1K
$2.8K of this was bought on both sides by the same 96 buyers — left out of momentum
18 smart whales58 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 86% of the money is not a bet
$980 of $12.8K is held equally on both sides by 6 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $10.0K is hedged across different prices by 19 wallets. True directional: YES $32·NO $1.8K
YES Team
Total Invested
$5.5K
Avg Win Rate
58.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$5.4K(-96.8%)
Whales
34
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·7,210.3 shares·also $3.9K on NO
$-3497INV $3.6K · WR 58.2%
N
Neat-Warlock-Killing🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·1,478 shares·also $800 on NO
$-717INV $739 · WR 56.6%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·824.7 shares·also $432 on NO
$-400INV $412 · WR 57.0%
B
bleedingmoneyboth sides
Entry 50¢·750 shares·also $375 on NO
$-364INV $375 · WR 60.7%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-87INV $90 · WR 55.7%
J
jotpolhedged
Entry 50¢·110 shares·also $60 on NO
$-53INV $55 · WR 55.0%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·110 shares·also $60 on NO
$-53INV $55 · WR 61.8%
L
lalala67hedged
Entry 51¢·60 shares·also $16 on NO
$-30INV $31 · WR 88.0%
O
orangelinhedged
Entry 50¢·55 shares·also $53 on NO
$-27INV $28 · WR 77.5%
O
orangelin1hedged
Entry 50¢·50 shares·also $29 on NO
$-24INV $25 · WR 59.8%
Showing top 10 of 34

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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