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Resolved

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$20.0K
2,010 trades
Smart Whales
108
of 768 traders · 33 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

56 YESvs85 NO
40%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 5% YES by dollars · 24 YES vs 63 NO taking a side · 19 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 84%· net of hedges
+420 new YES$9.1K+519 new NO$28.8K
$8.7K of this was bought on both sides by the same 199 buyers — left out of momentum
50 smart whales78 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 70% of the money is not a bet
$1.7K of $13.0K is held equally on both sides by 15 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $7.5K is hedged across different prices by 18 wallets. True directional: YES $194·NO $3.7K
YES Team
Total Invested
$4.8K
Avg Win Rate
58.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$4.7K(-99.0%)
Whales
56
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·6,804.3 shares·also $3.9K on NO
$-3368INV $3.4K · WR 58.2%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·771.2 shares·also $385 on NO
$-382INV $386 · WR 57.0%
N
Neat-Warlock-Killing🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·450.8 shares·also $261 on NO
$-223INV $225 · WR 56.6%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.7%
H
hex001both sides
Entry 50¢·160 shares·also $80 on NO
$-79INV $80 · WR 55.5%
J
jotpolboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on NO
$-59INV $60 · WR 55.0%
G
grundelithboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on NO
$-59INV $60 · WR 61.8%
S
spacex23hedged
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $35 on NO
$-37INV $38 · WR 70.2%
T
tarnoblistboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-37INV $38 · WR 65.4%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-37INV $38 · WR 56.8%
Showing top 10 of 56

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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