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Resolved

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$188
1,676 trades
Smart Whales
101
of 787 traders · 20 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

34 YESvs87 NO
28%72%
72% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 13% YES by dollars · 11 YES vs 46 NO taking a side · 11 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 90%· net of hedges
+364 new YES$5.4K+575 new NO$24.5K
$6.0K of this was bought on both sides by the same 184 buyers — left out of momentum
26 smart whales79 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 88% of the money is not a bet
$490 of $10.3K is held equally on both sides by 6 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $8.6K is hedged across different prices by 14 wallets. True directional: YES $151·NO $1.0K
YES Team
Total Invested
$4.7K
Avg Win Rate
58.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$3.5K(-74.5%)
Whales
34
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·7,917 shares·also $3.9K on NO
$-2969INV $4.0K · WR 58.3%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·750 shares·also $370 on NO
$-281INV $375 · WR 56.3%
P
polpotatoes🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-68INV $90 · WR 55.8%
G
grundelithboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on NO
$-45INV $60 · WR 61.8%
T
tarnoblisthedged
Entry 49¢·115 shares·also $38 on NO
$-42INV $56 · WR 65.5%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-28INV $38 · WR 56.8%
O
orangelinboth sides
Entry 50¢·55 shares·also $28 on NO
$-21INV $28 · WR 78.4%
Q
QuadBTCboth sides
Entry 50¢·50 shares·also $25 on NO
$-19INV $25 · WR 62.8%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 13¢·95.3 shares·also $28 on NO
$-1INV $13 · WR 55.0%
E
EZTRADNL1hedged
Entry 31¢·41 shares·also $28 on NO
$-7INV $13 · WR 60.8%
Showing top 10 of 34

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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