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Resolved

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$120
1,405 trades
Smart Whales
83
of 723 traders · 15 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

29 YESvs69 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 21% YES by dollars · 13 YES vs 56 NO taking a side · 10 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 91%· net of hedges
+356 new YES$5.5K+465 new NO$37.6K
$4.4K of this was bought on both sides by the same 133 buyers — left out of momentum
20 smart whales61 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 61% of the money is not a bet
$1.2K of $13.6K is held equally on both sides by 7 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $7.1K is hedged across different prices by 8 wallets. True directional: YES $1.1K·NO $4.2K
YES Team
Total Invested
$5.2K
Avg Win Rate
58.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$5.2K(-99.8%)
Whales
29
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·8,000 shares·also $3.0K on NO
$-3996INV $4.0K · WR 58.3%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·788.3 shares·also $393 on NO
$-394INV $394 · WR 57.0%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·710 shares·also $365 on NO
$-355INV $355 · WR 56.3%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-90INV $90 · WR 55.8%
M
moontrader1
Entry 50¢·147.7 shares
$-74INV $74 · WR 55.4%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·110 shares·also $60 on NO
$-55INV $55 · WR 61.8%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 22¢·233.2 shares·also $58 on NO
$-50INV $51 · WR 55.0%
E
EZTRADNL1hedged
Entry 34¢·142.6 shares·also $69 on NO
$-49INV $49 · WR 60.8%
T
tarnoblistboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-37INV $38 · WR 65.5%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-37INV $38 · WR 56.8%
Showing top 10 of 29

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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