Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12PM ET
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$39.9K
1,815 trades
Smart Whales
39
of 279 traders · 7 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
27 YESvs19 NO
59%41%
59% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 97% YES by dollars · 20 YES vs 7 NO taking a side · 3 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 81%· net of hedges
+183 new YES$27.4K+185 new NO$14.5K
$21.0K of this was bought on both sides by the same 91 buyers — left out of momentum
25 smart whales15 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 53% of the money is not a bet
$280 of $1.6K is held equally on both sides by 2 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $563 is hedged across different prices by 5 wallets. True directional: YES $718·NO $21YES Team
Total Invested
$1.2K
Avg Win Rate
61.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$671(+58.3%)
Whales
27
S
Staid-Typeface🥇
Entry 80¢·331.9 shares
Invested
$265
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$65
+$65INV $265 · WR 57.7%
T
thisissomuchfun🥈hedged
Entry 65¢·251.1 shares·also $61 on NO
Invested
$163
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
+$87
+$87INV $163 · WR 56.7%
P
ponymarketsucks🥉hedged
Entry 72¢·146.3 shares·also $39 on NO
Invested
$105
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $105 · WR 56.1%
P
poliphonicly1hedged
Entry 51¢·195 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$100
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$94
+$94INV $100 · WR 55.0%
P
polpotatoeshedged
Entry 52¢·178 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$92
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$85
+$85INV $92 · WR 55.9%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$90
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
+$89
+$89INV $90 · WR 56.9%
L
Lighthearted-Therapy
Entry 70¢·120.1 shares
Invested
$84
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $84 · WR 58.6%
7
0x74bb0f93...both sides
Entry 50¢·100 shares·also $50 on NO
Invested
$50
Win Rate
97.9%
Position P&L
+$50
+$50INV $50 · WR 97.9%
S
Scared-Puffin
Entry 99¢·50 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
82.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $50 · WR 82.8%
H
hevenshine
Entry 81¢·50 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $41 · WR 55.9%
Showing top 10 of 27
NO Team
Total Invested
$461
Avg Win Rate
61.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$455(-98.8%)
Whales
19
P
polpotatoes🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $92 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-89
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.9%
H
highpolis🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
$-89
$-89INV $90 · WR 56.9%
P
poliphonicly1🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $100 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-89
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.0%
T
thisissomuchfunhedged
Entry 27¢·222.6 shares·also $163 on YES
Invested
$61
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-60
$-60INV $61 · WR 56.7%
7
0x74bb0f93...both sides
Entry 50¢·100 shares·also $50 on YES
Invested
$50
Win Rate
97.9%
Position P&L
$-50
$-50INV $50 · WR 97.9%
P
ponymarketsuckshedged
Entry 26¢·151 shares·also $105 on YES
Invested
$39
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-39
$-39INV $39 · WR 56.1%
S
squidfruitnethedged
Entry 47¢·17.5 shares·also $8 on YES
Invested
$8
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $8 · WR 59.3%
I
incrediblemachine
Entry 52¢·13.5 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $7 · WR 58.0%
S
Stimulating-Power
Entry 40¢·15 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $6 · WR 61.7%
0
0x0967f73c...
Entry 46¢·8 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 58.1%
Showing top 10 of 19
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