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Resolved

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

View on Polymarket
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$52
2,421 trades
Smart Whales
132
of 678 traders · 24 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

48 YESvs108 NO
31%69%
69% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 5% YES by dollars · 16 YES vs 82 NO taking a side · 10 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 92%· net of hedges
+330 new YES$3.9K+461 new NO$24.2K
$3.6K of this was bought on both sides by the same 131 buyers — left out of momentum
44 smart whales95 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 30% of the money is not a bet
$1.1K of $4.8K is held equally on both sides by 9 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $356 is hedged across different prices by 15 wallets. True directional: YES $174·NO $3.2K
YES Team
Total Invested
$1.1K
Avg Win Rate
59.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$992(-88.3%)
Whales
48
E
0xe1e556d1...🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·720 shares·also $358 on NO
$-360INV $360 · WR 56.0%
D
0xdd93f948...🥈hedged
Entry 100¢·91.4 shares·also $6 on NO
$-91INV $91 · WR 55.7%
S
Stimulating-Power🥉
Entry 45¢·166 shares
$-76INV $76 · WR 63.2%
T
threnaboleboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on NO
$-60INV $60 · WR 57.3%
G
grundelithboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on NO
$-60INV $60 · WR 60.3%
T
tarnoblisthedged
Entry 38¢·105 shares·also $38 on NO
$-40INV $40 · WR 65.0%
P
palmeroscahedged
Entry 45¢·85.6 shares·also $38 on NO
$-38INV $38 · WR 61.7%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-38INV $38 · WR 55.7%
F
Few-Caption-Collision
Entry 47¢·53.3 shares
$-25INV $25 · WR 56.0%
1
13897651hedged
Entry 47¢·48.6 shares·also $55 on NO
$-23INV $23 · WR 57.4%
Showing top 10 of 48

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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