Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 27, 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$2.0K
153 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 73 traders · 1 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs12 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 2% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 97%· net of hedges
+31 new YES$49+20 new NO$1.2K
$32 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales9 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$14 of $297 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $6·NO $277YES Team
Total Invested
$13
Avg Win Rate
79.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$12(-95.3%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$652
Avg Win Rate
76.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$373(+57.2%)
Whales
12
B
balthazar🥇hedged
Entry 100¢·150.2 shares·also $7 on YES
Invested
$150
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $150 · WR 72.2%
D
dedidanc🥈
Entry 89¢·151.3 shares
Invested
$134
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $134 · WR 60.3%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 50¢·236.5 shares
Invested
$118
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$118
+$118INV $118 · WR 87.6%
L
luciebot
Entry 50¢·161.5 shares
Invested
$81
Win Rate
82.9%
Position P&L
+$81
+$81INV $81 · WR 82.9%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·104.1 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$52
+$52INV $52 · WR 79.6%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $40 · WR 89.3%
G
god83743894
Entry 52¢·39.9 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $21 · WR 85.7%
G
GingerMcKenna
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
84.9%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $20 · WR 84.9%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 78¢·17.5 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $14 · WR 88.2%
D
DJa
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
66.0%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $10 · WR 66.0%
Showing top 10 of 12
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 1553ms