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Resolved

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

View on Polymarket
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$24.1K
1,777 trades
Smart Whales
119
of 599 traders · 20 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

32 YESvs107 NO
23%77%
77% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 3% YES by dollars · 9 YES vs 87 NO taking a side · 7 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 91%· net of hedges
+298 new YES$2.9K+367 new NO$20.2K
$2.1K of this was bought on both sides by the same 87 buyers — left out of momentum
28 smart whales89 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 50% of the money is not a bet
$987 of $5.8K is held equally on both sides by 6 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.9K is hedged across different prices by 14 wallets. True directional: YES $99·NO $2.8K
YES Team
Total Invested
$1.7K
Avg Win Rate
58.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.6K(-98.2%)
Whales
32
R
Reasonable-Layout🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·904.3 shares·also $500 on NO
$-448INV $452 · WR 57.0%
4
0x484e5213...🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·740 shares·also $370 on NO
$-366INV $370 · WR 56.8%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·730 shares·also $375 on NO
$-361INV $365 · WR 56.0%
M
metaillyhedged
Entry 101¢·110 shares·also $2 on NO
$-111INV $111 · WR 70.5%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 38¢·165 shares·also $60 on NO
$-61INV $62 · WR 60.5%
T
threnaboleboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on NO
$-59INV $60 · WR 57.4%
S
Stimulating-Power
Entry 41¢·132.6 shares
$-54INV $54 · WR 63.2%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-37INV $38 · WR 55.7%
V
vemplarinehedged
Entry 36¢·72.9 shares·also $25 on NO
$-26INV $26 · WR 56.3%
T
tarnoblisthedged
Entry 50¢·45 shares·also $38 on NO
$-22INV $23 · WR 65.0%
Showing top 10 of 32

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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