Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 1?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

73¢

73% implied

NO Price

27¢

27% implied

Volume

$4.7K

233 trades

Smart Whales

38

of 117 traders

Smart Money Consensus

25 YESvs13 NO

66%34%

66% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 15% YES by dollars · 24 YES vs 11 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowYES momentum 67%· net of hedges

+75 new YES$2.9K+57 new NO$1.9K

$1.9K of this was bought on both sides by the same 14 buyers — left out of momentum

26 smart whales13 smart whales

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $371 is directional: YES $55·NO $316

YES Team

Total Invested

$110

Avg Win Rate

58.0%

Aggregate P&L

+$30(+26.9%)

Whales

25

test456y78🥇hedged

Entry 46¢·119.5 shares·also $100 on NO

+$32INV $55 · WR 58.0%

Entry 79¢·40 shares

$-2INV $32 · WR 57.1%

Grounded-Similarity🥉

Entry 60¢·1.7 shares

+$0INV $1 · WR 71.0%

Entry 81¢·1.2 shares

$-0INV $1 · WR 61.2%

Entry 74¢·1.4 shares

—INV $1 · WR 59.0%

Entry 74¢·1.4 shares

—INV $1 · WR 59.0%

Entry 74¢·1.4 shares

—INV $1 · WR 58.5%

Entry 74¢·1.4 shares

—INV $1 · WR 66.7%

Entry 74¢·1.4 shares

—INV $1 · WR 66.0%

Entry 76¢·1.3 shares

$-0INV $1 · WR 59.1%

Showing top 10 of 25

NO Team

Total Invested

$422

Avg Win Rate

59.0%

Aggregate P&L

-$123(-29.2%)

Whales

13

grasstoucher69🥇

Entry 32¢·960.5 shares

$-51INV $306 · WR 59.0%

test456y78🥈hedged

Entry 84¢·118.5 shares·also $55 on YES

$-68INV $100 · WR 58.0%

LecomtedeSaint-Germain🥉

Entry 76¢·8.3 shares

$-4INV $6 · WR 72.7%

Entry 31¢·3.3 shares

$-0INV $1 · WR 58.2%

Entry 28¢·3.7 shares

$-0INV $1 · WR 56.1%

Entry 29¢·3.6 shares

$-0INV $1 · WR 63.6%

Entry 29¢·3.6 shares

$-0INV $1 · WR 59.3%

Entry 33¢·3.1 shares

$-0INV $1 · WR 62.2%

Entry 22¢·4.8 shares

+$0INV $1 · WR 62.3%

Entry 31¢·3.3 shares

$-0INV $1 · WR 56.3%

Showing top 10 of 13

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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