Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 1?
YES Price
61¢
61% implied
NO Price
39¢
39% implied
Volume
$2.2K
93 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 35 traders · 2 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
10 YESvs7 NO
59%41%
59% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 84% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 5 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 81%· net of hedges
+21 new YES$1.6K+20 new NO$509
$380 of this was bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
10 smart whales7 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$208 of $1.5K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $1.1K·NO $201YES Team
Total Invested
$1.2K
Avg Win Rate
77.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$238(-19.9%)
Whales
10
J
Jac0bo3🥇
Entry 88¢·420.2 shares
Invested
$371
Win Rate
93.8%
Position P&L
$-105
$-105INV $371 · WR 93.8%
O
Onwig🥈
Entry 81¢·400.5 shares
Invested
$323
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
$-68
$-68INV $323 · WR 74.2%
R
RaNell🥉
Entry 80¢·305 shares
Invested
$244
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
$-50
$-50INV $244 · WR 74.1%
P
PrimePenguinhedged
Entry 63¢·217.3 shares·also $14 on NO
Invested
$137
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $137 · WR 59.6%
G
grasstoucher69hedged
Entry 82¢·110.4 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$91
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $91 · WR 59.0%
P
PXX001
Entry 77¢·13.2 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
90.4%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $10 · WR 90.4%
T
thanksforplayin
Entry 29¢·30 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $9 · WR 55.6%
U
Utter-Usher
Entry 80¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
76.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $8 · WR 76.3%
S
Serpentine-Altar
Entry 88¢·4.5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
80.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $4 · WR 80.6%
S
Stokvel
Entry 81¢·2.5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
82.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 82.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$305
Avg Win Rate
61.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$223(+73.3%)
Whales
7
S
superstonksbro🥇
Entry 19¢·818.3 shares
Invested
$159
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
+$140
+$140INV $159 · WR 60.1%
G
grasstoucher69🥈hedged
Entry 21¢·427.5 shares·also $91 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
+$66
+$66INV $90 · WR 59.0%
F
Frail-Item🥉
Entry 40¢·50 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $20 · WR 74.2%
F
flipperino
Entry 19¢·100 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $19 · WR 65.0%
P
PrimePenguinhedged
Entry 36¢·38.2 shares·also $137 on YES
Invested
$14
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $14 · WR 59.6%
B
bsqdrfy
Entry 34¢·6 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 61.5%
Y
yesasdgfaskdfhask
Entry 16¢·7 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 55.5%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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