Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

View on Polymarket

YES Price

66¢

66% implied

NO Price

34¢

34% implied

Volume

$12.4K

1,213 trades

Smart Whales

of 113 traders · 1 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

7 YESvs6 NO

54%46%

54% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 30% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 5 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowYES momentum 51%· net of hedges

+90 new YES$8.1K+76 new NO$8.0K

$9.5K of this was bought on both sides by the same 51 buyers — left out of momentum

8 smart whales7 smart whales

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

$44 of $880 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $251·NO $585

YES Team

Total Invested

$273

Avg Win Rate

56.5%

Aggregate P&L

+$68(+24.8%)

Whales

+$28INV $101 · WR 55.0%

incrediblemachine🥈hedged

Entry 56¢·125.9 shares·also $22 on NO

+$11INV $71 · WR 57.3%

0x7178ee5a...🥉

Entry 50¢·120.1 shares

+$17INV $60 · WR 58.0%

Clumsy-Text

Entry 49¢·62.1 shares

+$9INV $31 · WR 55.3%

NO Team

Total Invested

$607

Avg Win Rate

58.3%

Aggregate P&L

-$190(-31.3%)

Whales

justdance🥇

Entry 53¢·774.5 shares

$-136INV $411 · WR 55.8%

$-29INV $104 · WR 66.2%

cryingbabydicer87🥉

Entry 53¢·61.9 shares

$-11INV $33 · WR 60.6%

Jealous-Cluster-Handicap

Entry 41¢·79.7 shares

$-4INV $32 · WR 61.6%

incrediblemachinehedged

Entry 52¢·41.9 shares·also $71 on YES

$-7INV $22 · WR 57.3%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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