GeopoliticsResolved
Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 21-September 27?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$697
113 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 40 traders
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs7 NO
53%47%
53% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 97% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 91%· net of hedges
+15 new YES$328+11 new NO$32
$1 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
7 smart whales4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $219 is directional: YES $211·NO $7YES Team
Total Invested
$211
Avg Win Rate
79.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$25(+11.9%)
Whales
8
F
fillit98🥇
Entry 78¢·108 shares
Invested
$84
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $84 · WR 89.2%
O
olehivna🥈
Entry 99¢·55.2 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $55 · WR 71.4%
E
0xed4ac619...🥉
Entry 96¢·50 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
78.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $48 · WR 78.9%
Y
yummyummyummy
Entry 96¢·17.5 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $17 · WR 66.6%
W
wAiq-A.S
Entry 96¢·4.3 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
70.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 70.1%
F
fabiozzer8989
Entry 95¢·2.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 59.9%
U
upgu49106
Entry 96¢·1.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
73.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 73.5%
L
Lucerys
Entry 21¢·1.9 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
86.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $0 · WR 86.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$21
Avg Win Rate
84.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$20(-95.5%)
Whales
7
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 24¢·30.4 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $7 · WR 79.1%
P
plai2026🥈
Entry 97¢·7 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
89.5%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $7 · WR 89.5%
M
mapleggg🥉
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
85.6%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 85.6%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 19¢·6 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 88.1%
B
balthazar
Entry 4¢·10.6 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 72.0%
L
luciebot
Entry 0¢·38 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
83.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 83.3%
G
glm404.fund
Entry 0¢·5 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 85.8%
Smart Whale Trades
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