Will the next OpenAI GPT Luna model be released on October 15, 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$996
118 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 49 traders · 1 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs11 NO
8%92%
92% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%· net of hedges
+20 new YES$13+32 new NO$962
$2 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales11 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$13 of $187 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $0·NO $174YES Team
Total Invested
$7
Avg Win Rate
72.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$1(-12.6%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$512
Avg Win Rate
79.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$326(+63.6%)
Whales
11
H
highstake.trade🥇
Entry 50¢·409.8 shares
Invested
$205
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$205
+$205INV $205 · WR 85.8%
B
balthazar🥈hedged
Entry 100¢·170.8 shares·also $7 on YES
Invested
$170
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $170 · WR 72.0%
L
Lucerys🥉
Entry 50¢·154.6 shares
Invested
$77
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$77
+$77INV $77 · WR 86.2%
H
Hasty-Worker
Entry 50¢·38 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $19 · WR 59.1%
S
Shallow-Diadem
Entry 100¢·10.3 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 58.7%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.4%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $10 · WR 89.4%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $5 · WR 85.7%
L
luciebot
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
83.6%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $5 · WR 83.6%
G
god83743894
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
85.3%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $5 · WR 85.3%
C
Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon
Entry 50¢·5.3 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
58.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $3 · WR 58.9%
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