Will the next OpenAI GPT Luna model be released on October 14, 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$923
113 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 29 traders · 1 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs9 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%· net of hedges
+11 new YES$7+20 new NO$842
$1 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
0 smart whales9 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$26 of $215 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $1·NO $187YES Team
Total Invested
$14
Avg Win Rate
73.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$14(-95.3%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$378
Avg Win Rate
74.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$177(+46.9%)
Whales
9
B
balthazar🥇hedged
Entry 100¢·159.1 shares·also $13 on YES
Invested
$159
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
—
—INV $159 · WR 72.0%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 50¢·154.6 shares
Invested
$77
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$77
+$77INV $77 · WR 86.2%
0
0x04Ec240795dcF9dD85EC1c4DCd892c9BeD4945E8-1789957996206🥉
Entry 50¢·106.2 shares
Invested
$53
Win Rate
90.0%
Position P&L
+$53
+$53INV $53 · WR 90.0%
S
Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat
Entry 100¢·41.9 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
58.9%
Position P&L
—
—INV $42 · WR 58.9%
C
Comfortable-Sandwich
Entry 50¢·48 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $24 · WR 58.5%
E
Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian
Entry 50¢·20.6 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $10 · WR 58.7%
L
luciebot
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
83.6%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $5 · WR 83.6%
C
Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
58.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $5 · WR 58.9%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever
Entry 50¢·5.3 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $3 · WR 58.8%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 272ms