Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on September 17?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

96¢

96% implied

NO Price

4¢

4% implied

Volume

$1.5K

68 trades

Smart Whales

of 34 traders · 2 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

8 YESvs4 NO

67%33%

67% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 92% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 2 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowYES momentum 92%· net of hedges

+26 new YES$1.2K+20 new NO$265

$351 of this was bought on both sides by the same 11 buyers — left out of momentum

9 smart whales4 smart whales

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

$74 of $843 is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $707·NO $62

YES Team

Total Invested

$744

Avg Win Rate

61.8%

Aggregate P&L

+$107(+14.3%)

Whales

+$19INV $344 · WR 55.9%

grasstoucher69🥈hedged

Entry 74¢·149 shares·also $16 on NO

+$34INV $110 · WR 59.0%

jsbel🥉

Entry 81¢·123.7 shares

+$18INV $101 · WR 66.0%

referralfarmerhedged

Entry 90¢·100 shares·also $21 on NO

+$6INV $90 · WR 60.2%

Jac0bo3

Entry 95¢·52.6 shares

+$1INV $50 · WR 96.4%

+$29INV $43 · WR 67.0%

NO Team

Total Invested

$99

Avg Win Rate

60.0%

Aggregate P&L

-$66(-67.3%)

Whales

$-37INV $60 · WR 60.4%

referralfarmer🥈hedged

Entry 21¢·98.6 shares·also $90 on YES

$-17INV $21 · WR 60.2%

grasstoucher69🥉hedged

Entry 12¢·136 shares·also $110 on YES

$-11INV $16 · WR 59.0%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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