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Resolved

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

View on Polymarket
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$540
2,426 trades
Smart Whales
143
of 699 traders · 22 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

50 YESvs115 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 8% YES by dollars · 23 YES vs 95 NO taking a side · 5 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 81%· net of hedges
+361 new YES$7.9K+426 new NO$24.6K
$5.9K of this was bought on both sides by the same 118 buyers — left out of momentum
40 smart whales108 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 53% of the money is not a bet
$3.2K of $8.3K is held equally on both sides by 5 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.2K is hedged across different prices by 17 wallets. True directional: YES $322·NO $3.5K
YES Team
Total Invested
$2.9K
Avg Win Rate
68.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.8K(-97.6%)
Whales
50
N
ndjjwobaqq🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·1,111 shares·also $556 on NO
$-550INV $556 · WR 95.3%
4
0x484e5213...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·725 shares·also $358 on NO
$-359INV $363 · WR 55.9%
L
Luismarti🥉hedged
Entry 92¢·385.7 shares·also $41 on NO
$-356INV $356 · WR 74.1%
E
0xe1e556d1...both sides
Entry 50¢·675 shares·also $340 on NO
$-334INV $338 · WR 55.4%
5
0x5916ce25...both sides
Entry 50¢·669.8 shares·also $333 on NO
$-332INV $335 · WR 57.2%
0
0x0ab7993c...both sides
Entry 50¢·664.3 shares·also $332 on NO
$-329INV $332 · WR 57.2%
M
melop
Entry 16¢·1,229.6 shares
$-193INV $199 · WR 75.8%
C
0xcd30457c...hedged
Entry 32¢·421.2 shares·also $208 on NO
$-134INV $136 · WR 65.0%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-37INV $38 · WR 58.0%
M
Mean-Impediment
Entry 63¢·56.1 shares
$-35INV $35 · WR 55.0%
Showing top 10 of 50

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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