Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

View on Polymarket

YES Price

2¢

2% implied

NO Price

98¢

98% implied

Volume

$9.3K

287 trades

Smart Whales

of 94 traders · 1 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

3 YESvs14 NO

18%82%

82% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 58% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 14 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 72%· net of hedges

+55 new YES$3.3K+66 new NO$6.6K

$2.5K of this was bought on both sides by the same 25 buyers — left out of momentum

4 smart whales14 smart whales

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

$19 of $1.3K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $742·NO $533

YES Team

Total Invested

$751

Avg Win Rate

57.3%

Aggregate P&L

-$684(-91.0%)

Whales

justdance🥇

Entry 46¢·1,485.8 shares

$-620INV $679 · WR 55.8%

vedaresearch.btc🥈

Entry 33¢·191.5 shares

$-55INV $63 · WR 73.4%

incrediblemachine🥉hedged

Entry 45¢·21.4 shares·also $14 on NO

$-9INV $10 · WR 56.9%

NO Team

Total Invested

$542

Avg Win Rate

72.7%

Aggregate P&L

+$144(+26.6%)

Whales

+$4INV $260 · WR 75.7%

Ashamed-Chapel-Diffuse🥈

+$86INV $103 · WR 66.7%

+$1INV $64 · WR 86.5%

Jealous-Cluster-Handicap

+$23INV $35 · WR 62.2%

Remarkable-Sunglasses

Entry 95¢·14.8 shares

+$0INV $14 · WR 90.3%

incrediblemachinehedged

Entry 93¢·15 shares·also $10 on YES

+$0INV $14 · WR 56.9%

+$9INV $10 · WR 57.4%

Old-Helicopter-Porpoise

Entry 85¢·11.9 shares

+$1INV $10 · WR 58.2%

Faint-Macaw-Conscience

+$9INV $10 · WR 57.9%

Gomdue2026

Entry 65¢·12.7 shares

Showing top 10 of 14

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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