90 days left

Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?

YES Price
44ยข
44% implied
NO Price
56ยข
56% implied
Volume
$10.1K
500 trades
Smart Whales
25
of 152 traders

Smart Money Consensus

9 YESvs16 NO
36%64%
64% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 7% YES by dollars ยท 6 YES vs 15 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 83%ยท net of hedges
+9 new YES$141+5 new NO$87
$148 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers โ€” left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides โ€” all $1.2K is directional: YES $79ยทNO $1.1K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 36% YES: Another NATO Article 4 invocationโ€ฆ