4 days left
Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$3.5K
151 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 49 traders · 2 on both sides
Which Tossup Senate States Will Republicans Win? (AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX)
128 MARKETS · $2.16M MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats
25¢+8¢$95.1K8/16Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats+8¢25¢
$95.1K8/16
Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas
1¢−1¢$4.1K0/4Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas−1¢1¢
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Will Republicans win Alaska and Kansas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas
0¢0¢$2.9K0/3Will Republicans win Alaska and Kansas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas0¢0¢
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Will Republicans win Alaska and Maine, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas
0¢+20¢$2.6K1/4Will Republicans win Alaska and Maine, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas+20¢0¢
$2.6K1/4
Will Republicans win Alaska and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas
0¢0¢$1.6K0/3Will Republicans win Alaska and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas0¢0¢
$1.6K0/3
Will Republicans win Alaska and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas
0¢0¢$2.5K0/3Will Republicans win Alaska and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas0¢0¢
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Will Republicans win Alaska and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio
0¢0¢$3.8K0/2Will Republicans win Alaska and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio0¢0¢
$3.8K0/2
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Texas
1¢+19¢$2.8K1/4Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Texas+19¢1¢
$2.8K1/4
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio
2¢−2¢$9.0K0/3Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio−2¢2¢
$9.0K0/3
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan
1¢+24¢$4.9K1/3Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan+24¢1¢
$4.9K1/3
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Ohio and Texas
0¢+29¢$4.8K2/5Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Ohio and Texas+29¢0¢
$4.8K2/5
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Michigan and Texas
0¢0¢$2.8K0/1Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Michigan and Texas0¢0¢
$2.8K0/1
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio
2¢+23¢$13.9K1/3Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio+23¢2¢
$13.9K1/3
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine
0¢+33¢$3.2K1/2Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine+33¢0¢
$3.2K1/2
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Maine and Texas
1¢−1¢$3.2K0/2Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Maine and Texas−1¢1¢
$3.2K0/2
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Maine and Ohio
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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine and Michigan
0¢0¢$3.8K0/3Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine and Michigan0¢0¢
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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Michigan, Ohio, and Texas
1¢−1¢$6.4K0/3Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Michigan, Ohio, and Texas−1¢1¢
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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Maine, Ohio, and Texas
0¢0¢$2.4K0/3Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Maine, Ohio, and Texas0¢0¢
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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Texas
0¢+50¢$6.4K2/2Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Texas+50¢0¢
$6.4K2/2
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Ohio
1¢−1¢$7.3K0/3Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Ohio−1¢1¢
$7.3K0/3
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas
0¢0¢$4.9K0/4Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas0¢0¢
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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Kansas and Texas
0¢0¢$3.5K0/3Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Kansas and Texas0¢0¢
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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Ohio
0¢0¢$2.5K0/3Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Ohio0¢0¢
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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Michigan
0¢+17¢$7.8K1/5Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Michigan+17¢0¢
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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Kansas, Ohio, and Texas
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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Texas
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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio
0¢+25¢$3.7K1/3Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio+25¢0¢
$3.7K1/3
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Maine
0¢0¢$3.4K0/4Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Maine0¢0¢
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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Texas
0¢0¢$8.2K0/3Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Texas0¢0¢
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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Ohio
1¢−1¢$2.9K0/3Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Ohio−1¢1¢
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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Michigan
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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas
1¢−1¢$6.2K0/4Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas−1¢1¢
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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Maine, and lose Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas
0¢0¢$2.8K0/3Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Maine, and lose Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas0¢0¢
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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Michigan, and lose Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas
0¢0¢$3.7K0/2Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Michigan, and lose Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas0¢0¢
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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas
0¢0¢$3.2K0/2Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas0¢0¢
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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio
0¢0¢$3.6K0/3Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio0¢0¢
$3.6K0/3
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa
0¢0¢$6.4K0/3Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa0¢0¢
$6.4K0/3
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa and Texas
0¢0¢$3.5K0/4Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa and Texas0¢0¢
$3.5K0/4
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Ohio
0¢+25¢$3.6K1/3Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Ohio+25¢0¢
$3.6K1/3
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Michigan
0¢+40¢$9.4K2/3Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Michigan+40¢0¢
$9.4K2/3
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Ohio, and Texas
0¢+25¢$6.7K1/3Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Ohio, and Texas+25¢0¢
$6.7K1/3
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Michigan, and Texas
1¢−1¢$3.0K0/5Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Michigan, and Texas−1¢1¢
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Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio
0¢0¢$3.6K0/4Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio0¢0¢
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Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Maine
0¢0¢$3.9K0/2Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Maine0¢0¢
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Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Texas
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Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Ohio
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Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Michigan
0¢0¢$3.1K0/3Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Michigan0¢0¢
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Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas
0¢+100¢$3.0K3/0Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas+100¢0¢
$3.0K3/0
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas
0¢0¢$3.9K0/3Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas0¢0¢
$3.9K0/3
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas
0¢0¢$3.7K0/2Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas0¢0¢
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Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio
0¢0¢$3.1K0/3Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio0¢0¢
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Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Kansas
0¢0¢$4.0K0/4Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Kansas0¢0¢
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Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Texas
0¢+25¢$5.2K1/3Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Texas+25¢0¢
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Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio
0¢0¢$5.2K0/4Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio0¢0¢
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Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan
0¢0¢$5.0K0/4Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan0¢0¢
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Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas
0¢0¢$2.9K0/3Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas0¢0¢
$2.9K0/3
Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas
0¢0¢$3.6K0/3Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas0¢0¢
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Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio
0¢0¢$3.2K0/2Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio0¢0¢
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Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Maine
0¢0¢$2.6K0/4Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Maine0¢0¢
$2.6K0/4
Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas
0¢0¢$2.9K0/2Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas0¢0¢
$2.9K0/2
Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio
0¢0¢$3.0K0/2Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio0¢0¢
$3.0K0/2
Will Republicans win Alaska, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan
0¢0¢$3.3K0/3Will Republicans win Alaska, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan0¢0¢
$3.3K0/3
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas
1¢+66¢$6.0K2/1Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas+66¢1¢
$6.0K2/1
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas
14¢+22¢$754.6K4/7Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas+22¢14¢
$754.6K4/7
Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas
2¢−2¢$17.6K0/2Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas−2¢2¢
$17.6K0/2
Will Republicans win Iowa and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas
1¢+32¢$14.1K1/2Will Republicans win Iowa and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas+32¢1¢
$14.1K1/2
Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas
0¢+40¢$6.4K2/3Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas+40¢0¢
$6.4K2/3
Will Republicans win Iowa and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio
1¢−1¢$9.7K0/4Will Republicans win Iowa and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio−1¢1¢
$9.7K0/4
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska
1¢−1¢$3.6K0/2Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska−1¢1¢
$3.6K0/2
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska and Texas
0¢0¢$2.2K0/3Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska and Texas0¢0¢
$2.2K0/3
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Ohio
2¢+18¢$15.2K1/4Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Ohio+18¢2¢
$15.2K1/4
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Michigan
1¢+32¢$12.3K2/4Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Michigan+32¢1¢
$12.3K2/4
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Ohio, and Texas
0¢+25¢$1.9K1/3Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Ohio, and Texas+25¢0¢
$1.9K1/3
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Texas
1¢+16¢$10.5K1/5Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Texas+16¢1¢
$10.5K1/5
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio
3¢−3¢$8.8K0/5Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio−3¢3¢
$8.8K0/5
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Maine
0¢0¢$2.8K0/2Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Maine0¢0¢
$2.8K0/2
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Texas
0¢0¢$2.7K0/5Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Texas0¢0¢
$2.7K0/5
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs6 NO
54%46%
54% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 6% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%· net of hedges
+10 new YES$11+21 new NO$3.1K
$1 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
3 smart whales7 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $285 is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $17·NO $266YES Team
Total Invested
$18
Avg Win Rate
62.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$12(-66.1%)
Whales
7
S
sdhyky🥇
Entry 0¢·3,135.3 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $14 · WR 59.6%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 1¢·291.5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 71.9%
P
plainfolder🥉
Entry 1¢·98.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 86.1%
A
andy29hedged
Entry 0¢·499.9 shares·also $247 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 55.2%
J
JacobLiu
Entry 0¢·110.8 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 60.1%
Q
qwen300.fundhedged
Entry 1¢·24.4 shares·also $20 on NO
Invested
$0
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 86.0%
D
donthackme
Entry 1¢·10.5 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 87.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$403
Avg Win Rate
66.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$2(+0.5%)
Whales
6
A
andy29🥇hedged
Entry 99¢·249.4 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$247
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $247 · WR 55.2%
V
VictorLudorum🥈
Entry 100¢·87.9 shares
Invested
$88
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $88 · WR 88.1%
P
poposub◆Proven🥉
Entry 100¢·32 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $32 · WR 74.2%
Q
qwen300.fundhedged
Entry 100¢·20 shares·also $0 on YES
Invested
$20
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $20 · WR 86.0%
Z
zdfhftr
Entry 100¢·8 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
—
—INV $8 · WR 85.7%
S
szdxrftgyh
Entry 100¢·8 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
81.3%
Position P&L
—
—INV $8 · WR 81.3%
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