Resolved
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Maine, Ohio, and Texas?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$693.1K
1,624 trades
Smart Whales
44
of 128 traders
Which Tossup Senate States Will Republicans Win? (AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX)
3 MARKETS · $12.38M MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats
95¢−22¢$10.21M247/90Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats−22¢95¢
$10.21M247/90
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
12 YESvs32 NO
27%73%
73% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 51% YES by dollars · 10 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $630 is directional: YES $319·NO $311YES Team
Total Invested
$319
Avg Win Rate
67.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$317(-99.6%)
Whales
12
S
SnapElectionAvoider◆Proven🥇
Entry 0¢·65,678.1 shares
Invested
$169
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-169
$-169INV $169 · WR 61.2%
F
forgotmydinner🥈
Entry 1¢·8,115.1 shares
Invested
$63
Win Rate
85.6%
Position P&L
$-63
$-63INV $63 · WR 85.6%
1
11122🥉
Entry 1¢·5,000 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-39
$-39INV $39 · WR 60.4%
A
anciano
Entry 0¢·10,353.6 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
62.0%
Position P&L
$-27
$-27INV $27 · WR 62.0%
S
SiliconBets
Entry 1¢·1,750.6 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $13 · WR 79.6%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 1¢·583.3 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $5 · WR 87.9%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 0¢·1,015.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 86.1%
P
plainfolder
Entry 1¢·128.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 86.1%
T
themagicofcinema◆Proven
Entry 0¢·25.7 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 71.4%
C
C.PM
Entry 1¢·4.8 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
83.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 83.4%
Showing top 10 of 12
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.1K
Avg Win Rate
74.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$193.9K(+6175.7%)
Whales
32
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 5¢·41,232.3 shares
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$39290
+$39290INV $1.9K · WR 72.0%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 55¢·326.1 shares
Invested
$180
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$146
+$146INV $180 · WR 87.6%
E
Elias.Thornwell🥉
Entry 100¢·175.3 shares
Invested
$175
Win Rate
68.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $175 · WR 68.1%
H
HOG993
Entry 0¢·55,357 shares
Invested
$166
Win Rate
80.2%
Position P&L
+$55191
+$55191INV $166 · WR 80.2%
G
Gucky-45
Entry 0¢·42,672 shares
Invested
$82
Win Rate
90.1%
Position P&L
+$42590
+$42590INV $82 · WR 90.1%
L
Luxurious-Bar-Alpha
Entry 100¢·65.3 shares
Invested
$65
Win Rate
100.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $65 · WR 100.0%
R
RememberAmalek◆Proven
Entry 3¢·2,500 shares
Invested
$65
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
+$2435
+$2435INV $65 · WR 65.9%
S
sdhyky
Entry 0¢·11,000 shares
Invested
$53
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
+$10947
+$10947INV $53 · WR 63.2%
P
poposub◆Proven
Entry 100¢·40 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
74.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $40 · WR 74.8%
S
Shallow-Diadem
Entry 100¢·31.1 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $31 · WR 59.9%
Showing top 10 of 32
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