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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Ohio and Texas?

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YES Price

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NO Price

100¢

100% implied

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Which Tossup Senate States Will Republicans Win? (AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX)

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Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats

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Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats−20¢20¢

Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas+14¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska and Kansas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska and Maine, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska and Maine, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas+67¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas+50¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas+100¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio

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Will Republicans win Alaska and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio+33¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Texas+33¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio+49¢1¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan+32¢1¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Ohio and Texas←

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Michigan and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Michigan and Texas+33¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio+19¢1¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine+50¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Maine and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Maine and Texas+50¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Maine and Ohio

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Maine and Ohio+20¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine and Michigan

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine and Michigan+50¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Michigan, Ohio, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Michigan, Ohio, and Texas+25¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Maine, Ohio, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Maine, Ohio, and Texas+50¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Texas+99¢1¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Ohio

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Ohio+17¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas+25¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Kansas and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Kansas and Texas+25¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Ohio

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Ohio+33¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Michigan

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Michigan−1¢1¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Kansas, Ohio, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Kansas, Ohio, and Texas+33¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Texas+20¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio+40¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Maine

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Maine+25¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Texas+24¢1¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Ohio

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Ohio+17¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Michigan

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Michigan+50¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas+16¢1¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Maine, and lose Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Maine, and lose Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas+33¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Michigan, and lose Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Michigan, and lose Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas+25¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas+100¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio+25¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa+33¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa and Texas+20¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Ohio

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Ohio+50¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Michigan

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Michigan+32¢1¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Ohio, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Ohio, and Texas+99¢1¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Michigan, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Michigan, and Texas+25¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio+33¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Maine

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Maine+33¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Texas+50¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Ohio

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Ohio+40¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Michigan

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Michigan+50¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas+25¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas+33¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas+50¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio+50¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Kansas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Kansas+19¢1¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Texas+32¢1¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio+49¢1¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan+33¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas+33¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas+33¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio

Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio0¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Maine

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Maine+50¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas+50¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio+33¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan

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Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas+25¢0¢

Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas+9¢11¢

Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas+33¢0¢

Will Republicans win Iowa and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Iowa and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas+50¢0¢

Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas+25¢0¢

Will Republicans win Iowa and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio

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Will Republicans win Iowa and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio−1¢1¢

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska

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Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska+32¢1¢

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska and Texas

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Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska and Texas+25¢0¢

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Ohio

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Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Ohio+49¢1¢

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Michigan

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Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Michigan+23¢2¢

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Ohio, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Ohio, and Texas+24¢1¢

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Texas+32¢1¢

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio

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Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio+5¢15¢

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Maine

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Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Maine+33¢0¢

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Texas+17¢0¢

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Ohio

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Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Ohio+25¢0¢

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Michigan

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Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Michigan+40¢0¢

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

2 YESvs6 NO

25%75%

75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 25% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 97%· net of hedges

+23 new YES$62+22 new NO$1.4K

$31 of this was bought on both sides by the same 8 buyers — left out of momentum

4 smart whales6 smart whales

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $39 is directional: YES $10·NO $29

YES Team

Total Invested

$10

Avg Win Rate

67.9%

Aggregate P&L

-$8(-87.5%)

Whales

2

Entry 1¢·542.1 shares

$-6INV $7 · WR 72.9%

title1Proven🥈

Entry 1¢·277.5 shares

$-2INV $3 · WR 55.5%

NO Team

Total Invested

$194

Avg Win Rate

86.2%

Aggregate P&L

+$17(+8.8%)

Whales

6

qwen300.fund🥇

Entry 83¢·70 shares

+$12INV $58 · WR 86.0%

plainfolder🥈

Entry 96¢·53.8 shares

+$2INV $52 · WR 86.1%

GingerMcKenna🥉

Entry 96¢·30.1 shares

+$1INV $29 · WR 84.5%

Entry 95¢·30 shares

+$2INV $28 · WR 88.6%

Composed-Disarmament-Canoe

Entry 96¢·16.7 shares

+$1INV $16 · WR 85.7%

Entry 99¢·10.5 shares

+$0INV $10 · WR 87.6%

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Smart money 25% YES: Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas…