LoLAsian Games Evaluation Match · BO5View on Polymarket RESOLVED · South Korea

South Korea—Vietnam

Asian Games Evaluation Match· Sep 20, 2026 · 09:00–20:14 UTC· 11h 14m
Volume
$156.7K
Trades
1,283
Significant
15 ≥ $1,657
Low · high
49¢ → 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = South Korea · 1-min VWAP · rings = 3 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
50¢75¢100¢49¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 95¢ at 08:56$6.5K YES · -Malfunction$3.3K NO · General-Conformation-Seat$3.1K YES · q136084SMART100%97% South Korea09:0020:14 resolved
smart consensus leaned South Korea from 09:04 at 95¢ · 100% → 97%
Biggest buyers of the winnerSouth Korea never traded below 41¢ — it was the favourite, so there was no reversal to catch · sorted by size on the winner24 wallets
1bluzera10xf321…0315retail+$520
$2.2K at 80¢· pre-match · 1h 6m before· win rate 53.7%
2Favorable-Pepper-Brushing0x9e3e…f882whale−$5
$2.0K at 86¢· pre-match · 1h 7m before· win rate 42.4%
3a55330x758d…5d9ebot+$7
$829 at 82¢· pre-match · 22m before· win rate 39.7%
4NotJump0xf1f2…8c8dretail+$121
$736 at 72¢· pre-match · 25m before· win rate 49.8%
5Colala0x9cb3…1367smart+$368
$601 at 54¢· pre-match · 39m before· win rate 55.5%
6Schincariol0xa754…9bb7retail+$486
$600 at 55¢· pre-match · 2h 50m before· win rate 47.1%
7Shirayama0xb61d…a554retail+$32
$533 at 94¢· pre-match · 2h 6m before· win rate 77.1%
8Shiny-Pheasant0xd5db…0716retail+$210
$379 at 62¢· pre-match · 1h 6m before· win rate 48.0%
9fern220xc95e…285dretail−$170
$378 at 95¢· pre-match · 55m before· win rate 58.4%
10Unusual-Metallurgist0xc925…6d24retail+$128
$308 at 61¢· pre-match · 1h 6m before· win rate 47.2%
Entered = their first buy of the winner; size and average entry cover the whole position, from $100. 7 wallets bought the winner only at ≥ 95¢ ($4.3K in total) — priced as decided, not a bet on the team, so they are counted here and not listed. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 144 wallets
Top winners
bluzera10xf321…0315retail+$520
Schincariol0xa754…9bb7retail+$486
Colala0x9cb3…1367smart+$368
Shiny-Pheasant0xd5db…0716retail+$210
strker0x5264…7eb9retail+$175
Top losers
woshiliangzai0xdb15…8393retail−$298
Lasting-Puma0x7e9f…7d7fretail−$252
fern220xc95e…285dretail−$170
demo2580xeebb…0b96retail−$75
beelzemon0xafba…a754retail−$52
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): General-Conformation-Seat, 2HAE, qwweqrwewe, Malfunction. +4
Smart consensus · at resolution55 wallets
97%YES South Korea · the winner· from 100% at match start
YES capital
$125.6K
NO capital
$28.1K
Hedged
$18.4K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 15 TRADES ≥ $1,657 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
-Malfunction0xfc25…1f7f$6.5K
YES86¢series10:12:16whalefarmer
win rate 96.6%lifetime +$526.7K
General-Conformation-Seat0x8f3a…5ad0$3.3K
NO45¢series10:06:20retail
win rate 34.9%lifetime +$92.8K
q1360840x2140…0e12$3.1K
YES55¢series11:56:44retail
win rate 45.1%lifetime −$15.7K
General-Conformation-Seat0x8f3a…5ad0$3.0K
NO53¢series10:06:59retail
win rate 34.9%lifetime +$92.8K
General-Conformation-Seat0x8f3a…5ad0$3.0K
NO59¢series10:06:44retail
win rate 34.9%lifetime +$92.8K
General-Conformation-Seat0x8f3a…5ad0$1.7K
NO54¢series10:06:20retail
win rate 34.9%lifetime +$92.8K
More from this tournamentAsian Games Evaluation Match 2026 →
Match markets1 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
South Korea vs Vietnam · Asian Games Evaluation Match · match recap | OrcaLayer