LoLDemacia Cup Global Invitational · Group Stage · BO1View on Polymarket RESOLVED · RED Canids

RED Canids1-0Natus Vincere

Demacia Cup Global Invitational · Group Stage · Oct 3, 2026 · 08:00–08:46 UTC · 46m 45s · VOD on twitch
Volume
$660.6K
Trades
4,070
Significant
37 ≥ $1,986
Low · high
16¢ → 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = RED Canids · 1-min VWAP · rings = 6 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
25¢50¢75¢100¢G1 · RED CanidsG116¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 95¢ at 08:41$6.3K NO · ChonkVision$6.1K NO · Sunshine.Smile$5.6K NO · robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18$5.0K NO · five5120$4.3K NO · enpirugbrpti$4.0K NO · asuka7SMART24%40% RED Canids08:0008:46 resolved
smart consensus 24% → 40% YES
G1RED Canids21¢ → 99.9¢no map market
Walls eatena resting order of $10K+ taken out in under 90 s · the maker is revealed by the fills that hit it · largest first1
WALL EATEN99¢ · $28.3K bid wall gone in 2s$18.5K eaten · $9.8K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:arm1337smart+2 more on the same level· 54% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· 0x1f43…50c3 $18.2K· +2 more· 7 fills
Who entered before the reversalRED Canids last traded ≤ 40¢ at G1 · 15:31 · size and avg entry = whole position on the winner · sorted by realized P&L80 wallets
1meoooow0xd202…8973retail+$26.1K
$6.6K at 20¢· pre-match · 7m before· win rate 43.4%
2bit7540x6d1e…2c7eretail+$19.8K
$5.4K at 22¢· pre-match · 4m before· win rate 42.0%
3momijidan0x1c01…e7d0retail+$15.0K
$3.0K at 17¢· G1 · 05:54· win rate 51.8%
4NrNrfNrf20xf70f…3c97smart+$10.8K
$2.9K at 21¢· pre-match · 4h 21m before· win rate 68.5%
5Harmless-Fatigues0xe2d0…7bbfretail+$10.5K
$2.3K at 18¢· G1 · 02:54· win rate 42.1%
6THEHIGHLIFE0x8c0b…7aa5smart+$6.2K
$5.6K at 47¢· G1 · 15:16· win rate 55.6%
7gt72380x91a2…e415retail+$5.3K
$2.3K at 30¢· G1 · 02:57· win rate 44.6%
8BYTasb10x288e…c02dretail+$5.2K
$1.3K at 20¢· pre-match · 15h 50m before· win rate 42.6%
9Luminous-Addiction0xb552…b70cretail+$4.8K
$1.4K at 23¢· pre-match · 4m before· win rate 46.4%
10fkALG2FalconsTESMOUZ0x52ec…a6f3smartwhale+$4.3K
$1.0K at 17¢· G1 · 02:51· win rate 57.7%
Reversal = last time RED Canids traded ≤ 40¢ (G1 · 15:31). Entered = the first fill at that price; size and average entry cover the whole position on the winner, from $100. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 1001 wallets
Top winners
meoooow0xd202…8973retail+$26.1K
bit7540x6d1e…2c7eretail+$19.8K
momijidan0x1c01…e7d0retail+$15.0K
NrNrfNrf20xf70f…3c97smart+$10.8K
madwish3550x000e…f7e9retail+$10.7K
Top losers
ChonkVision0x676c…e139smart−$18.3K
robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-180x6ac5…4b6ewhale−$15.4K
RevengeRange0xafd4…7e61smart−$14.1K
five51200xc1c7…f0a7retail−$10.0K
Sunshine.Smile0xd3b0…329esmartwhale−$9.3K
Smart consensus · at resolution172 wallets
40%YES RED Canids · the winner· from 24% at match start
YES capital
$264.7K
NO capital
$249.7K
Hedged
$129.1K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 37 TRADES ≥ $1,986 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
ChonkVision0x676c…e139$6.3K
NO58¢series08:15:58smart
win rate 56.8%lifetime +$652.8K
Sunshine.Smile0xd3b0…329e$6.1K
NO82¢series08:06:25smartwhale
win rate 58.2%lifetime +$669.4K
NO80¢series08:06:18whale
win rate 50.2%lifetime +$1.35M
five51200xc1c7…f0a7$5.0K
NO84¢series08:09:39retail
win rate 70.4%lifetime −$203.6K
five51200xc1c7…f0a7$4.9K
NO83¢series08:10:40retail
win rate 70.4%lifetime −$203.6K
enpirugbrpti0x3a09…f9f7$4.3K
NO85¢series08:06:43retail
win rate 51.2%lifetime +$92.9K
asuka70xa469…0782$4.0K
NO81¢series07:57:31retail
win rate 59.6%lifetime +$16.2K
YES95¢series08:31:22smart
win rate 73.7%lifetime +$6.8K
Match markets7 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
RED Canids 1-0 Natus Vincere · Demacia Cup Global Invitational · match recap | OrcaLayer