LoLDemacia Cup Global Invitational · Group Stage · BO1View on Polymarket RESOLVED · RED Canids

RED Canids1-0Natus Vincere

Demacia Cup Global Invitational · Group Stage· Oct 3, 2026 · 08:00–08:46 UTC· 46m 45s· VOD on twitch
Volume
$660.6K
Trades
4,070
Significant
36 ≥ $1,986
Low · high
16¢ → 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = RED Canids · 1-min VWAP · rings = 6 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
25¢50¢75¢100¢G1 · RED CanidsG116¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 95¢ at 08:41$8.0K NO · meoooow$6.3K NO · 274fjeuhb38264hu$6.1K NO · Sunshine.Smile$5.6K NO · Lakersfan111$5.0K NO · five5120$4.3K NO · itachi-uchihaSMART24%40% RED Canids08:0008:46 resolved
smart consensus 24% → 40% YES
G1RED Canids21¢ → 99.9¢—
Walls eatena resting order of $10K+ taken out in under 90 s · the maker is revealed by the fills that hit it · largest first1
WALL EATEN99¢ · $28.3K bid wall gone in 2s$18.5K eaten · $9.8K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:arm1337smart+2 more on the same level· 54% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· 0x1f43…50c3 $18.2K· +2 more· 7 fills
Who entered before the reversalRED Canids last traded ≤ 40¢ at G1 · 15:31 · size and avg entry = whole position on the winner · sorted by realized P&L34 wallets
1fkigedgjdgwbg0x52ec…a6f3smart+$4.3K
$1.0K at 17¢· G1 · 02:51· win rate 58.8%
2mythos1.80x21b7…c861retail+$3.4K
$950 at 19¢· pre-match · 12h 54m before· win rate 35.4%
3lzh10x282f…7c4eretail+$3.2K
$800 at 20¢· pre-match · 4m before· win rate 43.9%
4facaigege0x559b…4959retail+$3.0K
$1.8K at 37¢· G1 · 09:03· win rate 48.5%
5callmenuts0xfa88…85a5retail+$1.7K
$300 at 15¢· G1 · 02:37· win rate 46.3%
6ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319whale+$1.7K
$996 at 30¢· G1 · 02:19· win rate 47.4%
7Shameful-Sundae0xb6b8…149bretail+$1.7K
$2.2K at 65¢· G1 · 08:55· win rate 52.0%
8q1360840x2140…0e12retail+$1.5K
$293 at 16¢· G1 · 05:33· win rate 44.5%
9alpheclabs0xb4d2…ce99retail+$1.4K
$991 at 19¢· G1 · 02:19· win rate 44.6%
10Wealthfreedom0010x80ba…2e78retail+$1.1K
$266 at 19¢· pre-match· win rate 39.0%
Reversal = last time RED Canids traded ≤ 40¢ (G1 · 15:31). Entered = the first fill at that price; size and average entry cover the whole position on the winner, from $100. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 334 wallets
Top winners
madwish3550x000e…f7e9retail+$10.7K
fkigedgjdgwbg0x52ec…a6f3smart+$4.3K
mythos1.80x21b7…c861retail+$3.4K
lzh10x282f…7c4eretail+$3.2K
facaigege0x559b…4959retail+$3.0K
Top losers
drunkdegenerate0xf184…c2d7retail−$8.0K
shaw0x03f4…7e44retail−$4.8K
no1dodgersfan0xb8ef…2864whale−$2.5K
vrcat0xe922…39b3retail−$2.1K
PourpelNourpel0xba43…c6c0retail−$1.4K
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): aomendushen008, zhon37, para-Vision, Favorable-Pepper-Brushing +4
Smart consensus · at resolution172 wallets
40%YES RED Canids · the winner· from 24% at match start
YES capital
$264.7K
NO capital
$249.7K
Hedged
$129.1K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 36 TRADES ≥ $1,986 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
meoooow0xd202…8973$8.0K
sell NO80¢series07:52:34retail
win rate 42.3%lifetime −$967.9K
meoooow0xd202…8973$7.5K
sell NO80¢series07:53:00retail
win rate 42.3%lifetime −$967.9K
274fjeuhb38264hu0x676c…e139$6.3K
NO58¢series08:15:58smartwhale
win rate 58.7%lifetime +$330.1K
Sunshine.Smile0xd3b0…329e$6.1K
NO82¢series08:06:25smartwhale
win rate 58.7%lifetime +$1.19M
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e$5.6K
NO80¢series08:06:18whale
win rate 50.1%lifetime +$1.02M
five51200xc1c7…f0a7$5.0K
NO84¢series08:09:39retail
win rate 70.8%lifetime −$296.1K
five51200xc1c7…f0a7$4.9K
NO83¢series08:10:40retail
win rate 70.8%lifetime −$296.1K
itachi-uchiha0x3a09…f9f7$4.3K
NO85¢series08:06:43retail
win rate 51.1%lifetime +$147.8K
Match markets7 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
RED Canids 1-0 Natus Vincere · Demacia Cup Global Invitational · match recap | OrcaLayer