Hong Kong0-1Chinese Taipei
Asian Games · Group B· Sep 30, 2026 · 02:30–04:35 UTC· 2h 05m
Volume
$16.6K
Trades
506
Significant
4 ≥ $500
Low · high
0.1¢ → 21¢
Price path · full matchYES = Hong Kong · 1-min VWAP · rings = 1 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
smart consensus leaned TPE from G1 at 89¢ · 97% → 97%
MapWinnerDurationPrice · start → endMap volumeTradesSignificant
G1Chinese Taipei13¢ → 0.1¢—
G1Chinese Taipei2h 05m · 02:29–04:3513¢ → 0.1¢ −12¢———
Biggest buyers of the winnerChinese Taipei never traded below 78¢ — it was the favourite, so there was no reversal to catch · sorted by size on the winner8 wallets
#WalletAvg entrySize · enteredRealized P&LWin rate
$556 at 91¢· pre-match · 17h 34m before· win rate 29.8%
$251 at 85¢· pre-match · 5h 15m before· win rate 62.1%
$208 at 82¢· pre-match · 20h 38m before· win rate 50.8%
$165 at 84¢· pre-match · 21m before· win rate 71.9%
$154 at 85¢· G1 · 65:09· win rate 53.8%
$140 at 89¢· pre-match · 10h 49m before· win rate 8.7%
$116 at 85¢· pre-match · 17h 36m before· win rate 47.5%
$115 at 90¢· G1 · 11:32· win rate 53.4%
Entered = their first buy of the winner; size and average entry cover the whole position, from $100. 2 wallets bought the winner only at ≥ 95¢ ($2.2K in total) — priced as decided, not a bet on the team, so they are counted here and not listed. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 95 wallets
Top winners
GC-C0xb2da…ce6asmart+$37
thb90370xe628…0024retail+$31
arena1130x16f1…e1d1retail+$27
Sweaty-Wasabi0xaeb9…59f9retail+$6
a55330x758d…5d9ebot+$5
Top losers
user00000000x9ffa…864cretail−$207
alpheclabs0xb4d2…ce99retail−$109
387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5retail−$106
NorwayTraderTwo0xdcb4…607eretail−$69
dotaloser0x12e7…39a0smart−$60
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): qfwdsd1, remingt0n, buigiaanfb1, Juvenile-Ego +4
Smart consensus · at resolution19 wallets
97%NO Chinese Taipei · the winner· from 97% at match start
YES capital
$2.0K
NO capital
$13.7K
Hedged
$2.2K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 4 TRADES ≥ $500 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
More from this tournamentAsian Games 2026 →
Match markets7 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesLoL: Hong Kong vs Chinese Taipei (BO1) - Asian Games Group B0¢ / 100¢$16.6Kclosedmap odd even 1Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?26¢ / 75¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?50¢ / 50¢$0closed