Dota 2European Pro League · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Nemiga Gaming

Spirit Academy0-2Nemiga Gaming

European Pro League · Playoffs · Sep 22, 2026 · 13:15–15:28 UTC · 2h 13m · VOD on kick
Volume
$149.9K
Trades
2,404
Significant
21 ≥ $500
Low · high
0.1¢ → 41¢
Price path · full matchYES = Spirit Academy · 1-min VWAP · rings = 0 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
0¢10¢20¢30¢40¢50¢G1 · Nemiga GamingG1G2 · Nemiga GamingG20¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 5¢ at 15:18SMART100%93% Nemiga Gaming13:1515:28 resolved
smart consensus leaned Nemiga Gaming from 12:49 at 55¢ · 100% → 93%
G1Nemiga Gaming40¢ → 17¢$31.4K
G2Nemiga Gaming17¢ → 0.1¢$48.1K
Biggest buyers of the winnerNemiga Gaming never traded below 50¢ — it was the favourite, so there was no reversal to catch · sorted by size on the winner12 wallets
1ArthurSpooner0x7044…5104retail+$113
$403 at 78¢· G1 · 28:39· win rate 59.1%
2vip1906660x9c42…b792retail+$209
$266 at 56¢· pre-match · 5h 1m before· win rate 40.2%
3ameisgoat110x2da3…f258retail+$6
$265 at 85¢· G2 · 31:23· win rate 53.9%
4forsenxd0x0286…f61dretail+$187
$225 at 55¢· pre-match · 7h 21m before· win rate 52.4%
5Standard-Analyst0xe1d3…b8deretail+$65
$222 at 77¢· G2 · 39:09· win rate 54.8%
6BookWarrior0x2e3c…08basmart+$50
$219 at 69¢· G1 · 03:33· win rate 55.2%
7SecritHandLucasAo0xbf3b…0375retail+$132
$161 at 55¢· pre-match · 1h 15m before· win rate 49.5%
8cerp0x4e5a…9ef7retail+$105
$124 at 54¢· pre-match · 5h 52m before· win rate 36.6%
9poshposh0xc4fe…601fbot+$57
$106 at 53¢· pre-match · 5h 42m before· win rate 47.4%
10a55330x758d…5d9ebot+$7
$106 at 71¢· pre-match · 7h 47m before· win rate 40.2%
Entered = their first buy of the winner; size and average entry cover the whole position, from $100. 4 wallets bought the winner only at ≥ 95¢ ($3.4K in total) — priced as decided, not a bet on the team, so they are counted here and not listed. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 154 wallets
Top winners
vip1906660x9c42…b792retail+$209
forsenxd0x0286…f61dretail+$187
SecritHandLucasAo0xbf3b…0375retail+$132
ArthurSpooner0x7044…5104retail+$113
cerp0x4e5a…9ef7retail+$105
Top losers
udysof0x9a0e…2330retail−$295
0x3858…1c29retail−$240
Subtle-Providence0xccdf…17baretail−$202
FatRetart0xa01b…7da1retail−$192
Charbroil1124a0x4a1e…fd05retail−$179
Smart consensus · at resolution18 wallets
93%NO Nemiga Gaming · the winner· from 100% at match start
YES capital
$2.3K
NO capital
$4.7K
Hedged
$599
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 21 TRADES ≥ $500 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
palyanitsya0x85e9…2eea$1.1K
NO67¢map 113:36:40retail
win rate 67.5%lifetime +$2.1K
babyboy90x7e01…b0b5$1.0K
NO52¢map 214:52:36retail
win rate 54.8%lifetime +$20.9K
Knowledgeable-Lawyer0xbfab…f067$1.0K
NO75¢map 113:44:29smart
win rate 68.7%lifetime +$105.5K
Knowledgeable-Lawyer0xbfab…f067$1.0K
NO75¢map 113:44:18smart
win rate 68.7%lifetime +$105.5K
TeamXiptoFan0x880d…39bc$992
NO67¢map 113:38:15retail
win rate 59.7%lifetime −$13.9K
mqww0xdc3f…5e0d$982
NO86¢map 113:51:25retail
win rate 65.7%lifetime +$11.4K
mqww0xdc3f…5e0d$962
YES65¢map 215:01:31retail
win rate 65.7%lifetime +$11.4K
Sisyphus-0xf3ce…a57a$906
YES40¢map 214:28:21smart
win rate 59.0%lifetime +$749.6K
More from this tournamentEuropean Pro League 2026 →
Match markets20 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
Spirit Academy 0-2 Nemiga Gaming · European Pro League · match recap | OrcaLayer