Dota 21win Essence · Group A · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Froglings

Froglings2-1angry birds

1win Essence · Group A· Nov 7, 2026 · 17:30–20:56 UTC· 3h 26m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$328.4K
Trades
3,354
Significant
64 ≥ $1,615
Low · high
59¢ → 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = Froglings · 1-min VWAP · rings = 6 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
50¢60¢70¢80¢90¢100¢G1 · FroglingsG1G2 · angry birdsG2G3 · FroglingsG359¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 95¢ at 20:51$6.9K YES · Sisyphus-$4.1K YES · yadens$3.9K YES · Tolkonevminus3$3.0K YES · Happy-Go-Lucky-Nestling$2.3K YES · Medo3D$2.0K YES · nomoredreamSMART69%100% Froglings17:3020:56 resolved
smart consensus leaned Froglings from G1 at 83¢ · 69% → 100%
G1Froglings70¢ → 91¢$19.0K
G2angry birds91¢ → 66¢$60.7K
G3Froglings66¢ → 99.9¢—
Earliest big buyersfirst Froglings buy ≥ $1K · by time9 wallets
1RandomGameBet0x904e…0becsmart+$246
$1.5K at 66¢· pre-match· win rate 56.6%
2a55330x758d…5d9ebot−$19
$1.6K at 70¢· G1 · 14:17· win rate 39.8%
30xd4b7…b06fretail+$1.3K
$2.3K at 65¢· G3 · 27:46· win rate unknown
4nomoredream0x5b13…0263smart+$375
$2.0K at 80¢· G3 · 43:07· win rate 65.0%
5akulaxl0x880d…39bcretail+$268
$1.7K at 86¢· G3 · 44:03· win rate 59.6%
6xjansfsa0x0f89…2652retail+$328
$3.1K at 90¢· G3 · 45:06· win rate 27.3%
7okalright0x9055…756asmart+$234
$2.9K at 93¢· G3 · 45:18· win rate 87.0%
8owlgorithm-beta0x5f48…ba84farmer+$3
$3.1K at 99.9¢· G3 · 56:41· win rate 98.3%
9zxc3680xa16a…33a1whalefarmer+$20
$20.2K at 99.9¢· G3 · 58:34· win rate 97.5%
Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 151 wallets
Top winners
0xd4b7…b06fretail+$1.3K
nomoredream0x5b13…0263smart+$375
xjansfsa0x0f89…2652retail+$328
akulaxl0x880d…39bcretail+$268
RandomGameBet0x904e…0becsmart+$246
Top losers
CyberScore.live0x3413…8ff2retail−$4.0K
Skritopoolniy0xd06c…cdafretail−$3.9K
Linear-Outlook0xebc6…4608retail−$2.4K
mostobesegoldfish0x63b1…1676retail−$400
topdogbigboi0x5d40…ba95bot−$204
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): Tolkonevminus2, RandomVibecoder, ameisgoat11, UNIVERSEMVP +4
Smart consensus · at resolution51 wallets
100%YES Froglings · the winner
YES capital
$116.4K
NO capital
$30.5K
Hedged
$21.0K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 64 TRADES ≥ $1,615 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
yadens0x6e55…68d0$9.1K
NO94¢map 219:52:28smartwhale
win rate 71.9%lifetime +$168.8K
Sisyphus-0xf3ce…a57a$6.9K
YES65¢series20:23:55smart
win rate 59.0%lifetime +$780.8K
hff.0xc0f5…3d04$5.1K
NO83¢map 219:49:43retail
win rate 67.6%lifetime +$77.8K
Happy-Go-Lucky-Nestling0xe16d…5e30$5.0K
YES68¢map 219:09:03whale
win rate 58.0%lifetime −$100.9K
yadens0x6e55…68d0$4.1K
YES94¢series20:50:46smartwhale
win rate 71.9%lifetime +$168.8K
Tolkonevminus30x61b4…e1b3$3.9K
YES68¢series20:28:28whale
win rate 56.1%lifetime −$28.1K
Happy-Go-Lucky-Nestling0xe16d…5e30$3.0K
YES66¢series20:27:20whale
win rate 58.0%lifetime −$100.9K
Happy-Go-Lucky-Nestling0xe16d…5e30$3.0K
YES71¢map 219:10:58whale
win rate 58.0%lifetime −$100.9K
More from this tournament1win Essence Play-in 2026 →
Match markets34 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesDota 2: Froglings vs angry birds (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A100¢ / 0¢$153.5Kclosedmap 1Dota 2: Froglings vs angry birds - Game 1 Winner100¢ / 0¢$41.2Kclosedmap 2Dota 2: Froglings vs angry birds - Game 2 Winner0¢ / 100¢$133.5Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 2.5100¢ / 0¢$115closedseries handicapGame Handicap: Froglings (-1.5) vs angry birds (+1.5)0¢ / 100¢$55closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?— / —$0closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 1?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 2?48¢ / 53¢$0closedmap kill total 3Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 3?53¢ / 47¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Ends in Daytime?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Any Player Rampage?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?100¢ / 0¢$50closedmap prop 2Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Any Player Rampage?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Ends in Daytime?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Ends in Daytime?53¢ / 47¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?48¢ / 53¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?48¢ / 53¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?48¢ / 53¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Any Player Rampage?48¢ / 53¢$0closed