Dota 2PGL · Group Stage · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Xtreme Gaming

Conventus Stellarum1-2Xtreme Gaming

PGL · Group Stage· Sep 20, 2026 · 07:0011:02 UTC· 4h 02m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$2.1M
Trades
12,848
Significant
139 ≥ $1,778
Low · high
0.1¢ 90¢
Price path · full matchYES = Conventus Stellarum · 1-min VWAP · rings = 6 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢G1 · Conventus Stell…G1G2 · Xtreme GamingG2G3 · Xtreme GamingG30¢ lowmarket priced as decided · at 10:59$10.0K YES · Happy-Go-Lucky-Nestling$9.6K NO · FatDuckVision$6.7K YES · Sunshine.Smile$5.3K NO · Dota2winner$4.5K NO · Mr.Ape$4.2K YES · SodooSMART54%59% Xtreme Gaming07:0011:02 resolved
smart consensus leaned XTREME from G3 at 86¢ · 54% → 59%
G1Conventus Stellarum46¢ 75¢$250.3K
G2Xtreme Gaming75¢ 47¢$325.8K
G3Xtreme Gaming47¢ 0.1¢
Walls eatena resting order of $10K+ taken out in under 90 s · the maker is revealed by the fills that hit it · largest first3
WALL EATEN51¢ · $12.3K ask wall gone in 12s$6.2K eaten · $6.1K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:yishiwuchengwhale+1 more on the same level· 95% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· kid817 $3.7K· catbusiness $1.8K· TIwinner $470· +2 more· 7 fills
WALL EATEN55¢ · $11.9K bid wall gone in 18s$6.0K eaten · $5.9K pulledmap 1
Maker revealed by fills:Dota2winner· 100% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Cold-Palms $2.8K· itachi-uchiha $1.9K· xytest $1.1K· +2 more· 6 fills
WALL EATEN51¢ · $10.5K ask wall gone in 9s$9.3K eaten · $827 still theremap 2
Maker revealed by fills:equalsignificancesmart+3 more on the same level· 99% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Happy-Go-Lucky-Nestling $9.2K· +2 more· 4 fills
Who entered before the reversalXtreme Gaming last traded ≤ 40¢ at G3 · 86:12 · size and avg entry = whole position on the winner · sorted by realized P&L63 wallets
1Wealthfreedom0010x80ba…2e78retail+$8.1K
$9.2K at 52¢· G3 · 32:33· win rate 38.8%
2muglishainer0xc835…3911retail+$2.1K
$1.7K at 45¢· G3 · 48:57· win rate 38.9%
3sashasasha50x51be…12c2smart+$1.7K
$1.5K at 34¢· G3 · 33:41· win rate 57.4%
4lpiere0x5502…d440smart+$1.3K
$439 at 26¢· G3 · 48:38· win rate 60.3%
5backbox0xc0f1…8680retail+$755
$733 at 33¢· G3 · 33:39· win rate 47.1%
6213721370xb877…4601retail+$499
$2.1K at 39¢· G1 · 37:32· win rate 50.8%
7BookWarrior0x2e3c…08basmart+$480
$6.9K at 45¢· G1 · 42:06· win rate 56.6%
8xixi121212120x10ae…df49retail+$461
$252 at 35¢· G3 · 45:34· win rate 41.9%
9SlickRick1230x277b…31faretail+$455
$411 at 37¢· G1 · 40:34· win rate 46.2%
10DOLLAR-PRINTER0x661d…4dc6retail+$433
$587 at 50¢· G1 · 37:32· win rate 50.2%
Reversal = last time Xtreme Gaming traded ≤ 40¢ (G3 · 86:12). Entered = the first fill at that price; size and average entry cover the whole position on the winner, from $100. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 361 wallets
Top winners
Wealthfreedom0010x80ba…2e78retail+$8.1K
Euphoric-Sick-Prizefight0x705b…2805retail+$3.1K
lossssss0xb042…204cretail+$2.8K
Understandable980x7124…cc9cretail+$2.7K
muglishainer0xc835…3911retail+$2.1K
Top losers
gxxyy0x4aec…4ce9smart−$6.5K
JabamiYumekosRBQ0x93bd…bbc5smart−$5.6K
minji0x2d39…6053retail−$5.3K
okalright0x9055…756asmart−$3.9K
drunkdegenerate0xf184…c2d7smart−$2.3K
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): Favorable-Pepper-Brushing, 0x28ab…d5bf, 0x3ba7…bbea, Happy-Go-Lucky-Nestling +4
Smart consensus · at resolution235 wallets
59%NO Xtreme Gaming · the winner· from 54% at match start
YES capital
$518.3K
NO capital
$563.8K
Hedged
$157.9K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 139 TRADES ≥ $1,778 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
Happy-Go-Lucky-Nestling0xe16d…5e30$10.0K
YES47¢series09:41:10whale
win rate 57.9%lifetime $1.29M
Happy-Go-Lucky-Nestling0xe16d…5e30$10.0K
YES51¢map 208:35:01whale
win rate 57.9%lifetime $1.29M
Happy-Go-Lucky-Nestling0xe16d…5e30$10.0K
YES49¢map 107:11:09whale
win rate 57.9%lifetime $1.29M
FatDuckVision0xf23c…9f81$9.6K
NO53¢series09:41:10smart
win rate 58.8%lifetime +$575.6K
Sisyphus-0xf3ce…a57a$8.4K
NO50¢map 208:36:07smart
win rate 58.6%lifetime +$531.8K
Happy-Go-Lucky-Nestling0xe16d…5e30$7.0K
YES48¢series06:36:11whale
win rate 57.9%lifetime $1.29M
Sunshine.Smile0xd3b0…329e$6.7K
YES78¢series10:00:11smart
win rate 58.8%lifetime +$924.6K
Sunshine.Smile0xd3b0…329e$5.7K
NO47¢map 208:34:21smart
win rate 58.8%lifetime +$924.6K
More from this tournamentPGL Wallachia 2026 Group Stage
Match markets33 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesDota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage / 100¢$1.1Mclosedmap 1Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner100¢ / $406.9Kclosedmap 2Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner / 100¢$590.8Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 2.5100¢ / $241closedseries handicapGame Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Conventus Stellarum (+1.5) / 100¢$297closedseries handicapGame Handicap: CS (-1.5) vs Xtreme Gaming (+1.5) / 100¢$105closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?100¢ / $10closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? / 100¢$10closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? / 100¢$10closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? / 100¢$72closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1? / 100¢$10closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?100¢ / $10closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?100¢ / $15closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?100¢ / $20closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2? / 100¢$20closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2? / 100¢$20closedmap prop 1Game 1: Ends in Daytime? / 100¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan? / 100¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks? / 100¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill? / 100¢$5closedmap prop 1Game 1: Any Player Rampage? / 100¢$0closedmap prop 1First Blood in Game 1?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Ends in Daytime? / 100¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?100¢ / $0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks? / 100¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill? / 100¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Any Player Rampage? / 100¢$0closedmap prop 2First Blood in Game 2?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Ends in Daytime?100¢ / $0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?91¢ / 10¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?100¢ / $0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill? / 100¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Any Player Rampage? / 100¢$0closed
Conventus Stellarum 1-2 Xtreme Gaming · PGL · match recap | OrcaLayer