Dota 2PGL · Group Stage · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Aurora

Aurora2-0Team Cobra

PGL · Group Stage· Sep 21, 2026 · 07:0009:04 UTC· 2h 04m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$398.7K
Trades
2,579
Significant
61 ≥ $738
Low · high
83¢ 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = Aurora · 1-min VWAP · rings = 1 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
70¢75¢80¢85¢90¢95¢100¢G1 · AuroraG1G2 · AuroraG283¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 95¢ at 07:40$1.0K YES · fengshengshuiqi88SMART87%93% Aurora07:0009:04 resolved
smart consensus leaned AUR from G1 at 85¢ · 87% → 93%
G1Aurora85¢ 95¢$66.5K
G2Aurora95¢ 99.9¢$116.9K
Walls eatena resting order of $10K+ taken out in under 90 s · the maker is revealed by the fills that hit it · largest first1
WALL EATEN76¢ · $13.5K bid wall gone in 18s$9.2K eaten · $4.0K still theremap 1
Maker revealed by fills:GEAEWsmart· 100% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· PIKALEVSKIY-MONSTR $5.3K· CORGI8 $2.7K· gonnachangelater $329· +10 more· 16 fills
Biggest buyers of the winnerAurora never traded below 81¢ — it was the favourite, so there was no reversal to catch · sorted by size on the winner6 wallets
1antec0x8935…7daaretail−$14
$1.2K at 86¢· pre-match · 7h 30m before· win rate 50.4%
2GongxifacaiRMB0x4818…fde0retail+$68
$900 at 83¢· pre-match · 46m before· win rate 44.9%
3ojgtubvdt0x60e3…57b5smart+$190
$810 at 81¢· pre-match · 7h 27m before· win rate 63.2%
4Murky-Fallingout0x5b62…d87fretail+$66
$248 at 79¢· pre-match · 7h 30m before· win rate 51.3%
5Black-Facility0x51db…f9b3bot−$67
$124 at 82¢· G1 · 07:48· win rate 53.2%
6387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5retail−$33
$114 at 81¢· pre-match · 5h 39m before· win rate 50.9%
Entered = their first buy of the winner; size and average entry cover the whole position, from $100. 4 wallets bought the winner only at ≥ 95¢ ($777 in total) — priced as decided, not a bet on the team, so they are counted here and not listed. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 106 wallets
Top winners
ojgtubvdt0x60e3…57b5smart+$190
GongxifacaiRMB0x4818…fde0retail+$68
Murky-Fallingout0x5b62…d87fretail+$66
FraneSelak0x35e7…8331retail+$19
Eminent-Pole0xfb07…e2ccretail+$17
Top losers
SecritHandLucasAo0xbf3b…0375retail−$233
Wealthfreedom0010x80ba…2e78retail−$207
czy19990x1311…d450retail−$150
iii2520xed44…4f76smart−$76
Black-Facility0x51db…f9b3bot−$67
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): peet-752, Starry-Bayou, okalright, fengshengshuiqi88 +4
Smart consensus · at resolution40 wallets
93%YES Aurora · the winner· from 87% at match start
YES capital
$25.5K
NO capital
$3.3K
Hedged
$7.4K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 61 TRADES ≥ $738 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
Happy-Go-Lucky-Nestling0xe16d…5e30$10.0K
YES78¢map 107:10:06retail
win rate 57.9%lifetime $1.36M
GEAEW0x88c3…bea3$5.3K
YES76¢map 107:16:36smart
win rate 61.4%lifetime +$174.4K
lhz60020xd3bc…5bd2$5.0K
YES76¢map 107:13:56retail
win rate 52.5%lifetime $189.1K
gxxyy0x4aec…4ce9$4.8K
YES83¢map 208:21:40smart
win rate 68.4%lifetime +$86.6K
PourpelNourpel0xba43…c6c0$4.0K
sell YES80¢map 208:21:27retail
win rate 48.8%lifetime $47
errormargin30x5a56…10f5$3.0K
YES92¢map 208:55:13retail
win rate 53.5%lifetime +$163.7K
catbusiness0xde24…4ded$3.0K
YES78¢map 208:21:03retail
win rate 55.5%lifetime $3.2K
Happy-Go-Lucky-Nestling0xe16d…5e30$3.0K
YES75¢map 106:38:55retail
win rate 57.9%lifetime $1.36M
More from this tournamentPGL Wallachia 2026 Group Stage
Match markets35 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesDota 2: Aurora vs Team Cobra (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage100¢ / $32.0Kclosedmap 1Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Cobra - Game 1 Winner100¢ / $128.9Kclosedmap 2Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Cobra - Game 2 Winner100¢ / $228.1Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 2.5 / 100¢$255closedseries handicapGame Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Team Cobra (+1.5)100¢ / $6.6Kclosedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?49¢ / 52¢$0closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?53¢ / 48¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 2?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 1First Blood in Game 1?52¢ / 49¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Ends in Daytime? / 100¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan? / 100¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks? / 100¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?100¢ / $0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Any Player Rampage? / 100¢$0closedmap prop 2First Blood in Game 2?100¢ / $0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks? / 99¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Any Player Rampage?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Ends in Daytime?99¢ / $0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Any Player Rampage?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Ends in Daytime?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?50¢ / 50¢$0closed
Aurora 2-0 Team Cobra · PGL · match recap | OrcaLayer