CS21win · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · NIP

Sinners1-2NIP

1win · Playoffs· Sep 26, 2026 · 15:00–17:28 UTC· 2h 28m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$778.4K
Trades
3,418
Significant
49 ≥ $2,919
Low · high
0.1¢ → 65¢
Price path · full matchYES = Sinners · 1-min VWAP · rings = 6 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
0¢25¢50¢75¢G1 · SinnersG1G2 · NIPG2G3 · NIPG30¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 5¢ at 17:14$13.0K NO · CORGI8$12.9K NO · acorp$10.1K NO · Similar-Enrollment$8.7K NO · PrivateJetsTG$8.0K NO · GooldzX$5.3K NO · aaaalesshaaaSMART64%56% NIP15:0017:28 resolved
smart consensus leaned NIP from G2 at 40¢ · 64% → 56%
G1Sinners42¢ → 63¢$55.9K
G2NIP63¢ → 31¢$71.6K
G3NIP31¢ → 0.1¢—
Walls eatena resting order of $10K+ taken out in under 90 s · the maker is revealed by the fills that hit it · largest first1
WALL EATEN32¢ · $13.7K ask wall gone in 79s$8.7K eaten · $1.5K pulled · $3.5K still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:Similar-Enrollment· 100% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· aaaalesshaaa $7.3K· VoVoV $517· 0x8326…9361 $442· +4 more· 8 fills
Who entered before the reversalNIP last traded ≤ 40¢ at G2 · 36:08 · size and avg entry = whole position on the winner · sorted by realized P&L9 wallets
1Audrii0xfbaf…2a03retail+$1.3K
$1.0K at 44¢· G2 · 28:04· win rate 34.1%
2starryxd0xfb12…6a81retail+$737
$415 at 36¢· G1 · 41:38· win rate 50.3%
3sentrio0xdb83…1e50retail+$217
$134 at 38¢· G2 · 05:11· win rate 51.2%
4a55330x758d…5d9ebot+$36
$1.9K at 63¢· G1 · 49:23· win rate 35.4%
5Sweaty-Wasabi0xaeb9…59f9retail+$4
$561 at 58¢· G1 · 36:04· win rate 53.1%
$455 at 57¢· G1 · 36:23· win rate 17.5%
7antec0x8935…7daaretail−$14
$2.5K at 84¢· G1 · 36:04· win rate 50.6%
8Black-Facility0x51db…f9b3bot−$20
$667 at 50¢· G1 · 36:37· win rate 52.9%
9BookWarrior0x2e3c…08basmart−$81
$166 at 40¢· G2 · 33:10· win rate 56.0%
Reversal = last time NIP traded ≤ 40¢ (G2 · 36:08). Entered = the first fill at that price; size and average entry cover the whole position on the winner, from $100. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 146 wallets
Top winners
YarloslawRouter0x1bcd…0a69retail+$1.9K
Audrii0xfbaf…2a03retail+$1.3K
starryxd0xfb12…6a81retail+$737
feafar0xfd3e…feafretail+$451
Wiry-Birthday0xb2d8…f6b6retail+$368
Top losers
iii2520xed44…4f76smart−$11.4K
WARNINGWARNINGWARNING0x5e6e…be00whale−$10.2K
Wiretransferxyz0x30c7…ac3bretail−$6.0K
TrippleEX0x994e…6136retail−$4.5K
vibing1230x6b97…8d30retail−$3.1K
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): Similar-Enrollment, RN1, GooldzX, Flaznorp +4
Smart consensus · at resolution83 wallets
56%NO NIP · the winner· from 64% at match start
YES capital
$193.0K
NO capital
$370.3K
Hedged
$81.9K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 49 TRADES ≥ $2,919 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
CORGI80x79ae…9a4a$13.0K
sell NO59¢series14:57:13whale
win rate 41.2%lifetime +$32.5K
acorp0x99e4…e4c4$12.9K
sell NO69¢series16:42:45hedger
win rate 56.7%lifetime −$274.5K
Similar-Enrollment0xb7e3…1a64$10.1K
NO69¢series16:47:19whale
win rate 51.7%lifetime −$99.7K
PrivateJetsTG0x54ee…5547$8.7K
sell NO69¢series16:47:31smart
win rate 60.0%lifetime +$3.8K
GooldzX0x2525…3ddd$8.0K
sell NO69¢series16:45:21retail
win rate 47.5%lifetime −$80.3K
GooldzX0x2525…3ddd$7.2K
sell NO68¢series16:55:37retail
win rate 47.5%lifetime −$80.3K
aaaalesshaaa0x9166…5bd5$5.3K
sell NO68¢series16:52:48retail
win rate 52.6%lifetime −$19.5K
RN10x2005…75ea$4.9K
sell NO68¢series16:53:36hedgerwhale
win rate 52.6%lifetime +$11.91M
Match markets25 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesCounter-Strike: Sinners vs NIP (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs0¢ / 100¢$581.1Kclosedmap 1Counter-Strike: Sinners vs NIP - Map 1 Winner100¢ / 0¢$85.0Kclosedmap 2Counter-Strike: Sinners vs NIP - Map 2 Winner0¢ / 100¢$106.6Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 2.5100¢ / 0¢$2.8Kclosedseries handicapMap Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Sinners (+1.5)0¢ / 100¢$1.8Kclosedseries handicapMap Handicap: SIN (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)0¢ / 100¢$962closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.50¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs Sinners (+3.5)0¢ / 100¢$23closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sinners (-3.5) vs NIP (+3.5)0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-6.5) vs Sinners (+6.5)0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sinners (-6.5) vs NIP (+6.5)0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs Sinners (+3.5)100¢ / 0¢$9closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-6.5) vs Sinners (+6.5)0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs Sinners (+3.5)100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-6.5) vs Sinners (+6.5)100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-9.5) vs Sinners (+9.5)100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-12.5) vs Sinners (+12.5)100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-15.5) vs Sinners (+15.5)0¢ / 100¢$0closed
Sinners 1-2 NIP · 1win · match recap | OrcaLayer