CS2ROG Journey · Group A · BO1View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Sinners

Sinners1-0Lilmix

ROG Journey · Group A · Oct 2, 2026 · 12:00–12:41 UTC · 41m 32s · VOD on kick
Volume
$11.0K
Trades
117
Significant
3 ≥ $804
Low · high
68¢ → 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = Sinners · 1-min VWAP · rings = 2 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
60¢70¢80¢90¢100¢G1 · SinnersG168¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 95¢ at 12:31$2.4K YES · JohnLKellyJr$886 NO · RN1SMART100%99% Sinners12:0012:41 resolved
smart consensus leaned Sinners from 12:03 at 83¢ · 100% → 99%
G1Sinners80¢ → 99.9¢no map market
Biggest buyers of the winnerSinners never traded below 68¢ — it was the favourite, so there was no reversal to catch · sorted by size on the winner5 wallets
1JohnLKellyJr0xddc3…029csmart+$2.0K
$6.2K at 76¢· G1 · 02:57· win rate 55.4%
2Rash-Barometer0x29b5…cc6csmart+$55
$436 at 89¢· pre-match · 11h 30m before· win rate 56.5%
3Hasty-Bowler0xa3d7…4084retail+$92
$338 at 79¢· G1 · 06:00· win rate 60.8%
4Jarod210x4a3f…4333retail+$16
$140 at 90¢· pre-match · 4h 44m before· win rate 54.9%
5BACKTESTEOCARAIO10x7d67…5f14smart+$6
$109 at 74¢· G1 · 03:36· win rate 58.4%
Entered = their first buy of the winner; size and average entry cover the whole position, from $100. 2 wallets bought the winner only at ≥ 95¢ ($418 in total) — priced as decided, not a bet on the team, so they are counted here and not listed. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 88 wallets
Top winners
JohnLKellyJr0xddc3…029csmart+$2.0K
Hasty-Bowler0xa3d7…4084retail+$92
Rash-Barometer0x29b5…cc6csmart+$55
Gaditima0x7e59…7b8bretail+$18
Jarod210x4a3f…4333retail+$16
Top losers
RN10x2005…75earetail−$1.8K
Near-Rubbish0x299f…2c50retail−$93
6367630xfd14…2267retail−$54
BookWarrior0x2e3c…08basmart−$39
0xb2a4…d9dbretail−$29
Smart consensus · at resolution12 wallets
99%YES Sinners · the winner· from 100% at match start
YES capital
$8.5K
NO capital
$2.4K
Hedged
$6.8K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 3 TRADES ≥ $804 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
JohnLKellyJr0xddc3…029c$2.4K
YES79¢series12:07:56smart
win rate 55.5%lifetime +$78.9K
JohnLKellyJr0xddc3…029c$2.4K
YES73¢series12:08:27smart
win rate 55.5%lifetime +$78.9K
RN10x2005…75ea$886
NO27¢series12:08:27retail
win rate 51.3%lifetime +$11.74M
More from this tournamentROG Journey 2026 →
Match markets5 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
Sinners 1-0 Lilmix · ROG Journey · match recap | OrcaLayer