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CS2ESL Challenger League · Group A · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · OG

PRIVATE1-2OG

ESL Challenger League · Group A· Nov 7, 2026 · 18:30–21:01 UTC· 2h 31m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$72.0K
Trades
1,269
Significant
16 ≥ $500
Low · high
0.1¢ → 70¢
Price path · full matchYES = PRIVATE · 1-min VWAP · rings = 2 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
0¢25¢50¢75¢G1 · OGG1G2 · PRIVATEG2G3 · OGG30¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 5¢ at 20:51$525 YES · Kaczka$512 NO · frankenstein75SMART75%88% OG18:3021:01 resolved
smart consensus leaned OG from 18:04 at 39¢ · 100% → 88%
G1OG62¢ → 34¢$7.0K
G2PRIVATE34¢ → 59¢$19.1K
G3OG59¢ → 0.1¢—
Walls eatena resting order of $10K+ taken out in under 90 s · the maker is revealed by the fills that hit it · largest first1
WALL EATEN99.9¢ · $10.0K bid wall gone in 7s$5.3K eaten · $1.9K pulled · $2.8K still theremap 2
Maker revealed by fills:looppaufarmer+6 more on the same level· 47% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· qwe258 $5.3K· 8 fills
Who entered before the reversalOG last traded ≤ 40¢ at G3 · 18:53 · size and avg entry = whole position on the winner · sorted by realized P&L7 wallets
1topdogbigboi0x5d40…ba95bot+$174
$307 at 41¢· pre-match · 24m before· win rate 40.1%
2BookWarrior0x2e3c…08basmart+$89
$237 at 65¢· G1 · 14:33· win rate 55.4%
3Near-Rubbish0x299f…2c50retail+$74
$119 at 49¢· G1 · 14:33· win rate 44.1%
4poshposh0xc4fe…601fbot+$34
$166 at 45¢· pre-match · 18m before· win rate 47.3%
5Sweaty-Wasabi0xaeb9…59f9retail+$22
$230 at 66¢· G1 · 14:33· win rate 53.7%
60x6891…6bb9bot+$7
$444 at 62¢· pre-match · 30m before· win rate 23.4%
7a55330x758d…5d9ebot−$4
$768 at 65¢· G3 · 06:44· win rate 39.8%
Reversal = last time OG traded ≤ 40¢ (G3 · 18:53). Entered = the first fill at that price; size and average entry cover the whole position on the winner, from $100. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 153 wallets
Top winners
topdogbigboi0x5d40…ba95bot+$174
Lmaonaise0xad89…e006retail+$142
UnSmartMan0xf743…1811smart+$135
Gaditima0x7e59…7b8bretail+$127
RandomGameBet0x904e…0becsmart+$114
Top losers
Hairy-Penalty0x3c47…9c27retail−$205
thekingsback0xde4b…1222retail−$159
andersonpaak0x42cd…2359retail−$150
Clear-Cut-Curriculum-Grape0x1fcd…3695retail−$101
danilosilveira0x662a…150eretail−$100
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): Kaczka, old-smokey, 0xd192…4b77, HyDrAnml +4
Smart consensus · at resolution19 wallets
88%NO OG · the winner· from 100% at match start
YES capital
$7.3K
NO capital
$14.1K
Hedged
$821
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 16 TRADES ≥ $500 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
CoinTrick0x731a…033f$5.7K
NO93¢map 120:15:37whalefarmer
win rate 95.0%lifetime +$197.1K
crabfavor0x0636…d49a$1.5K
YES45¢map 120:03:02retail
win rate 47.3%lifetime +$1.4K
crabfavor0x0636…d49a$1.0K
NO23¢map 220:56:17retail
win rate 47.3%lifetime +$1.4K
dsknadkasnkfjs0x4713…4d21$878
NO88¢map 120:06:58bot
win rate 40.7%lifetime −$721.7K
Kaczka0x067a…1aea$525
YES63¢series20:06:25retail
win rate 50.9%lifetime +$12.8K
frankenstein750x0f0b…f901$512
NO68¢series20:36:20retail
win rate 53.4%lifetime +$32.8K
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Match markets28 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesCounter-Strike: PRIVATE vs OG (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #11 Group A0¢ / 100¢$30.1Kclosedmap 1Counter-Strike: PRIVATE vs OG - Map 1 Winner0¢ / 100¢$6.8Kclosedmap 2Counter-Strike: PRIVATE vs OG - Map 2 Winner100¢ / 0¢$24.9Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 2.5100¢ / 0¢$295closedseries handicapMap Handicap: PRIV (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)0¢ / 100¢$8closedseries handicapMap Handicap: OG (-1.5) vs PRIVATE (+1.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5— / —$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550¢ / 51¢$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: PRIVATE (-3.5) vs OG (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: OG (-3.5) vs PRIVATE (+3.5)50¢ / 51¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: OG (-6.5) vs PRIVATE (+6.5)50¢ / 51¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: PRIVATE (-6.5) vs OG (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: PRIVATE (-9.5) vs OG (+9.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: PRIVATE (-3.5) vs OG (+3.5)51¢ / 49¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: PRIVATE (-6.5) vs OG (+6.5)51¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: PRIVATE (-9.5) vs OG (+9.5)— / —$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: PRIVATE (-12.5) vs OG (+12.5)— / —$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: PRIVATE (-3.5) vs OG (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: OG (-3.5) vs PRIVATE (+3.5)51¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: OG (-6.5) vs PRIVATE (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: OG (-9.5) vs PRIVATE (+9.5)25¢ / 76¢$0closed