CS2IEM · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Natus Vincere

PARIVISION1-2Natus Vincere

IEM · Playoffs· Nov 6, 2026 · 06:30–10:14 UTC· 3h 44m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$4.2M
Trades
17,961
Significant
154 ≥ $2,340
Low · high
0.1¢ → 86¢
Price path · full matchYES = PARIVISION · 1-min VWAP · rings = 6 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢G1 · PARIVISIONG1G2 · Natus VincereG2G3 · —G30¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 5¢ at 10:10$88.5K YES · Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl$73.7K NO · NS13$25.0K YES · fantasy7788$22.2K NO · 0x83d1…5da5$19.3K NO · jtwyslljy$11.8K YES · caishenbaoyoufadacai888SMART51%25% Natus Vincere06:3010:14 resolved
smart consensus 49% → 75% YES
G1PARIVISION27¢ → 59¢$299.8K
G2Natus Vincere59¢ → 35¢$353.2K
G3—35¢ → 0.1¢—
Walls eatena resting order of $10K+ taken out in under 90 s · the maker is revealed by the fills that hit it · largest first13
WALL EATEN59¢ · $109.4K bid wall gone in 7s$100.7K eaten · $8.7K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:0x549b…c0ae+4 more on the same level· 88% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· NS13 $100.6K· +4 more· 9 fills
WALL EATEN42¢ · $50.9K bid wall gone instantly$31.6K eaten · $4.5K pulled · $14.8K still therehandicap
Maker revealed by fills:VPenguin+10 more on the same level· 47% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· fantasy7788 $31.6K· 16 fills
WALL EATEN30¢ · $44.6K ask wall gone in 42s$15.3K eaten · $16.8K pulled · $12.5K still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:Lakersfan111whale· 100% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· omnibus-076daa $15.0K· +4 more· 5 fills
WALL EATEN29¢ · $31.1K ask wall gone instantly$42.6K eaten · $6.5K still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:4217893367451whale+1 more on the same level· 89% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· 0x549b…c0ae $42.6K· 2 fills
WALL EATEN60¢ · $24.5K bid wall gone in 30s$10.8K eaten · $13.7K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:TAIWANNUMBERONEhedger+10 more on the same level· 92% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· 0xcb76…b5ef $8.4K· Purplecheff $1.0K· humpav $600· +6 more· 20 fills
WALL EATEN60¢ · $19.4K ask wall gone in 6s$6.3K eaten · $7.5K pulled · $5.5K still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:astapzippo+15 more on the same level· 41% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· 0x549b…c0ae $3.4K· xytest $1.2K· minji $1.2K· +4 more· 30 fills
Who entered before the reversalNatus Vincere last traded ≤ 40¢ at G2 · 60:27 · size and avg entry = whole position on the winner · sorted by realized P&L43 wallets
1Kkunn0xe787…5034whale+$9.3K
$8.0K at 40¢· G2 · 02:57· win rate 41.2%
2astapzippo0x66b1…340fretail+$4.9K
$3.4K at 41¢· G2 · 17:09· win rate 56.8%
3ameamezzz0xc5b0…180dretail+$2.6K
$1.9K at 43¢· G2 · 19:26· win rate 40.7%
4deg30x81f4…8300retail+$1.9K
$3.1K at 40¢· G2 · 10:19· win rate 56.8%
5calculate100xb35f…cf4cretail+$1.8K
$14.3K at 62¢· G1 · 63:36· win rate 54.7%
6GuailanKia0x8f0b…eb6dretail+$1.6K
$1.0K at 40¢· G2 · 10:19· win rate 42.5%
7NEluuuudos0x642d…ffb3retail+$1.1K
$748 at 40¢· G2 · 10:19· win rate 44.7%
8Irresponsible-Autumn0xd9e0…05f2smart+$1.1K
$14.8K at 58¢· G1 · 63:36· win rate 59.1%
9legalm0ney0xd385…34fbretail+$1.0K
$680 at 40¢· G2 · 17:11· win rate 54.5%
10moopsy0x40b9…b002retail+$902
$1.4K at 40¢· G2 · 10:19· win rate 62.2%
Reversal = last time Natus Vincere traded ≤ 40¢ (G2 · 60:27). Entered = the first fill at that price; size and average entry cover the whole position on the winner, from $100. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 442 wallets
Top winners
42178933674510xb208…c095whale+$21.7K
jakepaulthegoat20080x6ac5…4b6ewhale+$11.0K
forsenxd0x0286…f61dretail+$10.5K
Kkunn0xe787…5034whale+$9.3K
AnibalAugustoSardinha0x9609…a48dretail+$6.7K
Top losers
TAIWANNUMBERONE0xe015…6ffdwhale−$31.1K
Gooooooollllllllll0xda3a…381fretail−$11.9K
Xyp9xFan0x2418…66c8retail−$6.0K
tankfest20270x4d6e…5cfdwhale−$4.6K
caishenbaoyoufadacai8880x751b…73fdsmart−$4.5K
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): NS13, redvinny, ameisgoat11, KateBollinger +4
Smart consensus · at resolution228 wallets
25%NO Natus Vincere · the winner· from 51% at match start
YES capital
$879.9K
NO capital
$1.65M
Hedged
$324.0K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 154 TRADES ≥ $2,340 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
YES59¢series07:43:01smartwhale
win rate 60.0%lifetime +$348.8K
NS130x1610…ae49$73.7K
NO41¢series07:43:01hedgerwhale
win rate 49.9%lifetime +$1.24M
fantasy77880x0259…769e$43.6K
NO58¢handicap06:03:12whale
win rate 43.0%lifetime +$487.5K
YES59¢series07:55:38smartwhale
win rate 60.0%lifetime +$348.8K
fantasy77880x0259…769e$25.0K
YES60¢series07:53:51whale
win rate 43.0%lifetime +$487.5K
NO65¢series08:59:58retail
win rate unknownlifetime unknown
jtwyslljy0x9cb9…32f2$19.3K
NO41¢series07:55:38retail
win rate 42.9%lifetime +$1.50M
NS130x1610…ae49$18.0K
sell NO64¢series09:10:41hedgerwhale
win rate 49.9%lifetime +$1.24M
More from this tournamentIEM Beijing 2026 →
Match markets33 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesCounter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs0¢ / 100¢$2.6Mclosedmap 1Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner100¢ / 0¢$593.5Kclosedmap 2Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner0¢ / 100¢$654.3Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 2.5100¢ / 0¢$27.1Kclosedseries handicapMap Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)0¢ / 100¢$4.6Kclosedseries handicapMap Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)0¢ / 100¢$382.2Kclosedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100¢ / 0¢$2.0Kclosedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100¢ / 0¢$1.0Kclosedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.516¢ / 84¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100¢ / 0¢$1.6Kclosedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5)0¢ / 100¢$285closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs PARIVISION (+3.5)0¢ / 100¢$1.0Kclosedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-6.5) vs PARIVISION (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-6.5) vs Natus Vincere (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-9.5) vs PARIVISION (+9.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-9.5) vs Natus Vincere (+9.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-12.5) vs Natus Vincere (+12.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs PARIVISION (+3.5)100¢ / 0¢$856closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5)0¢ / 100¢$54closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-6.5) vs Natus Vincere (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-6.5) vs PARIVISION (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs PARIVISION (+3.5)0¢ / 100¢$6.9Kclosedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-6.5) vs PARIVISION (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-9.5) vs PARIVISION (+9.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closed