CS2Roman Imperium Cup · Group A · BO1View on Polymarket RESOLVED · OG

OG1-0SINQU

Roman Imperium Cup · Group A· Oct 7, 2026 · 11:25–12:21 UTC· 56m 11s· VOD on kick
Volume
$35.2K
Trades
863
Significant
9 ≥ $521
Low · high
61¢ → 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = OG · 1-min VWAP · rings = 4 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
50¢60¢70¢80¢90¢100¢G1 · OGG161¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 95¢ at 12:04$1.1K YES · JohnLKellyJr$1.0K YES · dalbore$700 YES · CherepKabana$676 YES · mujemujeSMART100%94% OG11:2512:21 resolved
smart consensus leaned OG from 11:26 at 86¢ · 100% → 94%
G1OG73¢ → 99.9¢—
Biggest buyers of the winnerOG never traded below 54¢ — it was the favourite, so there was no reversal to catch · sorted by size on the winner10 wallets
1alpheclabs0xb4d2…ce99retail+$6
$663 at 82¢· pre-match· win rate 44.6%
2a55330x758d…5d9ebot+$7
$462 at 82¢· pre-match · 37m before· win rate 33.1%
3poshposh0xc4fe…601fbot+$35
$304 at 81¢· pre-match · 2m before· win rate 47.6%
$298 at 83¢· pre-match · 37m before· win rate 13.5%
5topdogbigboi0x5d40…ba95retail+$48
$220 at 75¢· pre-match· win rate 40.3%
6Gl4d0x1e3a…9e14smart+$34
$210 at 86¢· pre-match · 1m before· win rate 61.0%
7antec0x8935…7daaretail+$38
$156 at 75¢· pre-match · 6m before· win rate 50.5%
8cigarettes0xd218…b5c9retail−$50
$156 at 81¢· G1 · 26:27· win rate 60.2%
9KENSi3220x7460…de6eretail+$123
$144 at 54¢· G1 · 41:18· win rate 53.5%
10Virtuous-Catalysis0xa951…8a2fretail−$1
$126 at 82¢· pre-match· win rate 51.7%
Entered = their first buy of the winner; size and average entry cover the whole position, from $100. 4 wallets bought the winner only at ≥ 95¢ ($5.9K in total) — priced as decided, not a bet on the team, so they are counted here and not listed. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 102 wallets
Top winners
KENSi3220x7460…de6eretail+$123
topdogbigboi0x5d40…ba95retail+$48
antec0x8935…7daaretail+$38
poshposh0xc4fe…601fbot+$35
Top losers
cigarettes0xd218…b5c9retail−$50
Green-Dinner0xd6d3…bab9retail−$42
CAcap0xd619…c461retail−$37
nicolitoso0x0cf1…d7feretail−$15
VILKAVICTORA0x5011…94b4retail−$12
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): JohnLKellyJr, Under1345, Divinev, BookWarrior +4
Smart consensus · at resolution27 wallets
94%YES OG · the winner· from 100% at match start
YES capital
$22.6K
NO capital
$6.2K
Hedged
$9.9K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 9 TRADES ≥ $521 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
JohnLKellyJr0xddc3…029c$1.1K
YES91¢series11:58:37smart
win rate 57.1%lifetime +$325.0K
JohnLKellyJr0xddc3…029c$1.1K
YES85¢series11:58:22smart
win rate 57.1%lifetime +$325.0K
dalbore0x4378…1bde$1.0K
YES74¢series11:32:35retail
win rate 51.6%lifetime +$3.6K
JohnLKellyJr0xddc3…029c$898
YES91¢series11:58:46smart
win rate 57.1%lifetime +$325.0K
CherepKabana0xf5c2…dbba$700
YES70¢series11:31:03retail
win rate 52.0%lifetime −$3.6K
mujemuje0xc192…086c$676
sell YES78¢series11:46:47retail
win rate 35.4%lifetime −$43.8K
CherepKabana0xf5c2…dbba$640
YES92¢series11:35:38retail
win rate 52.0%lifetime −$3.6K
More from this tournamentRoman Imperium Cup 2026 →
Match markets7 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
OG 1-0 SINQU · Roman Imperium Cup · match recap | OrcaLayer