CS2ROG Journey · Group B · BO1View on Polymarket RESOLVED · NIP

NIP1-0BBL

ROG Journey · Group B· Oct 2, 2026 · 16:35–17:36 UTC· 1h 01m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$21.0K
Trades
640
Significant
4 ≥ $500
Low · high
44¢ → 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = NIP · 1-min VWAP · rings = 1 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
50¢75¢100¢G1 · NIPG144¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 95¢ at 17:16$672 YES · neutralwave23SMART96%96% NIP16:3517:36 resolved
smart consensus leaned NIP from 16:22 at 69¢ · 96% → 96%
G1NIP56¢ → 99.9¢—
Biggest buyers of the winnerNIP never traded below 44¢ — it was the favourite, so there was no reversal to catch · sorted by size on the winner12 wallets
1antec0x8935…7daaretail−$79
$841 at 88¢· pre-match · 3h 55m before· win rate 50.5%
2BACKTESTEOCARAIO10x7d67…5f14smart+$10
$679 at 70¢· G1 · 01:43· win rate 65.4%
3kalluto0x8726…0f36retail+$250
$508 at 67¢· pre-match · 3h 55m before· win rate 50.3%
4a55330x758d…5d9ebot+$1
$391 at 70¢· pre-match · 4m before· win rate 33.1%
5Gl4d0x1e3a…9e14smart+$196
$381 at 66¢· pre-match · 3h 55m before· win rate 61.0%
6BookWarrior0x2e3c…08basmart−$62
$253 at 82¢· G1 · 31:22· win rate 56.2%
7ForAndWithYou0xc34b…9296retail+$121
$250 at 67¢· pre-match · 10h 18m before· win rate 54.7%
8zxcursed1210x945a…a48cbot−$4
$203 at 76¢· G1 · 00:55· win rate 43.7%
9poshposh0xc4fe…601fbot−$5
$182 at 69¢· pre-match · 2m before· win rate 47.6%
10300PS0x8f41…260esmart+$92
$177 at 66¢· pre-match · 6h 25m before· win rate 57.1%
Entered = their first buy of the winner; size and average entry cover the whole position, from $100. 2 wallets bought the winner only at ≥ 95¢ ($1.7K in total) — priced as decided, not a bet on the team, so they are counted here and not listed. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 111 wallets
Top winners
kalluto0x8726…0f36retail+$250
Gl4d0x1e3a…9e14smart+$196
ForAndWithYou0xc34b…9296retail+$121
300PS0x8f41…260esmart+$92
Lazy-Conscience-Salary0xc104…e684retail+$72
Top losers
Impassioned-Oregano0x67a5…3516retail−$102
CAcap0xd619…c461retail−$92
antec0x8935…7daaretail−$79
BookWarrior0x2e3c…08basmart−$62
luisgust20030x6ed8…7559retail−$60
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): kozelblack, neutralwave23, Glorious-Yak, RN1 +4
Smart consensus · at resolution30 wallets
96%YES NIP · the winner· from 96% at match start
YES capital
$12.3K
NO capital
$5.5K
Hedged
$3.8K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 4 TRADES ≥ $500 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
neutralwave230x5b63…11a4$672
sell YES84¢series17:32:12whale
win rate 45.9%lifetime −$2.12M
neutralwave230x5b63…11a4$598
YES75¢series17:29:35whale
win rate 45.9%lifetime −$2.12M
More from this tournamentROG Journey 2026 →
Match markets4 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
NIP 1-0 BBL · ROG Journey · match recap | OrcaLayer