CS2ROG Journey · Group B · BO1View on Polymarket RESOLVED · NIP

NIP1-0BBL

ROG Journey · Group B · Oct 2, 2026 · 16:35–17:36 UTC · 1h 01m · VOD on twitch
Volume
$21.0K
Trades
640
Significant
5 ≥ $500
Low · high
44¢ → 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = NIP · 1-min VWAP · rings = 1 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
50¢75¢100¢G1 · NIPG144¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 95¢ at 17:16$672 YES · neutralwave23SMART96%96% NIP16:3517:36 resolved
smart consensus leaned NIP from 16:22 at 69¢ · 96% → 96%
G1NIP56¢ → 99.9¢no map market
Biggest buyers of the winnerNIP never traded below 44¢ — it was the favourite, so there was no reversal to catch · sorted by size on the winner26 wallets
1BACKTESTEOCARAIO10x7d67…5f14smart+$10
$1.1K at 68¢· G1 · 01:43· win rate 58.4%
2Rash-Barometer0x29b5…cc6csmart+$535
$1.1K at 67¢· pre-match · 12h 21m before· win rate 56.5%
3antec0x8935…7daaretail−$79
$841 at 88¢· pre-match · 3h 55m before· win rate 51.5%
4neutralwave230x5b63…11a4retail+$74
$598 at 75¢· G1 · 52:12· win rate 46.0%
5carmenberzatto0x8726…0f36retail+$250
$508 at 67¢· pre-match · 3h 55m before· win rate 50.4%
6babyloncmg0x9942…5c84retail+$229
$407 at 64¢· pre-match · 38m before· win rate 55.5%
7a55330x758d…5d9ebot+$1
$391 at 70¢· pre-match · 4m before· win rate 40.3%
8Naive-Motel0x4ffe…8d97retail+$81
$385 at 83¢· G1 · 31:24· win rate 68.8%
9RN10x2005…75earetail−$484
$385 at 64¢· G1 · 04:31· win rate 51.2%
10Gl4d0x1e3a…9e14smart+$196
$381 at 66¢· pre-match · 3h 55m before· win rate 55.9%
Entered = their first buy of the winner; size and average entry cover the whole position, from $100. 4 wallets bought the winner only at ≥ 95¢ ($3.0K in total) — priced as decided, not a bet on the team, so they are counted here and not listed. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 212 wallets
Top winners
Rash-Barometer0x29b5…cc6csmart+$535
6367630xfd14…2267retail+$268
carmenberzatto0x8726…0f36retail+$250
babyloncmg0x9942…5c84retail+$229
Gl4d0x1e3a…9e14smart+$196
Top losers
gbby1230x5984…76ebretail−$500
RN10x2005…75earetail−$484
backbox0xc0f1…8680retail−$367
no1dodgersfan0xb8ef…2864retail−$212
chosenname0x00a6…ede4retail−$103
Smart consensus · at resolution30 wallets
96%YES NIP · the winner· from 96% at match start
YES capital
$12.3K
NO capital
$5.5K
Hedged
$3.8K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 5 TRADES ≥ $500 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
neutralwave230x5b63…11a4$672
sell YES84¢series17:32:12retail
win rate 46.0%lifetime −$2.27M
neutralwave230x5b63…11a4$598
YES75¢series17:29:35retail
win rate 46.0%lifetime −$2.27M
gbby1230x5984…76eb$500
NO33¢series12:40:15retail
win rate 31.6%lifetime −$22.0K
More from this tournamentROG Journey 2026 →
Match markets4 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
NIP 1-0 BBL · ROG Journey · match recap | OrcaLayer