CS2PGL Masters · Group Stage · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Aurora Gaming

Nemiga0-2Aurora Gaming

PGL Masters · Group Stage· Oct 26, 2026 · 08:00–10:39 UTC· 2h 39m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$1.9M
Trades
6,976
Significant
83 ≥ $4,899
Low · high
0.1¢ → 48¢
Price path · full matchYES = Nemiga · 1-min VWAP · rings = 1 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
0¢10¢20¢30¢40¢50¢60¢G1 · Aurora GamingG1G2 · Aurora GamingG20¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 5¢ at 10:10$83.5K NO · salgnklasfSMART73%83% Aurora Gaming08:0010:39 resolved
smart consensus leaned AUR from 08:01 at 70¢ · 73% → 83%
G1Aurora Gaming30¢ → 12¢$307.3K
G2Aurora Gaming12¢ → 0.1¢$161.1K
Walls eatena resting order of $10K+ taken out in under 90 s · the maker is revealed by the fills that hit it · largest first7
WALL EATEN30¢ · $40.4K ask wall gone instantly$59.3K eaten · $7.8K still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:Lakersfan111whale+4 more on the same level· 71% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· 0x57a8…ebc2 $59.3K· 6 fills
WALL EATEN29¢ · $25.2K ask wall gone instantly$47.5K eaten · $2.0K still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:Lakersfan111whale+7 more on the same level· 90% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· 0x57a8…ebc2 $47.5K· 9 fills
WALL EATEN42¢ · $20.9K bid wall gone instantly$10.5K eaten · $6.9K pulled · $3.5K still therehandicap
Maker revealed by fills:Lakersfan111whale+3 more on the same level· 84% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· 0x57a8…ebc2 $10.5K· 4 fills
WALL EATEN29¢ · $15.3K ask wall gone instantly$35.5K eaten · $827 still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:norrisfan+5 more on the same level· 86% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· 0x57a8…ebc2 $35.5K· 8 fills
WALL EATEN29¢ · $14.0K ask wall gone instantly$26.9K eaten · $1.5K still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:0x9a97…3c43+1 more on the same level· 92% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· 0x57a8…ebc2 $26.9K· 2 fills
WALL EATEN29¢ · $12.4K ask wall gone instantly$28.4K eaten · $830 still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:norrisfan+2 more on the same level· 100% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· 0x57a8…ebc2 $28.4K· 4 fills
Earliest big buyersfirst Aurora Gaming buy ≥ $1K · by time39 wallets
1Stickman220xb9ab…f282retail+$1.2K
$2.8K at 71¢· pre-match · 13h 14m before· win rate 52.3%
2plpl0200x3bf2…de9dretail+$1.5K
$3.8K at 72¢· pre-match · 11h 59m before· win rate 33.3%
3Muddy-Noodles0x4de7…1982retail+$870
$2.1K at 71¢· pre-match · 11h 32m before· win rate 43.1%
4darkumbreon880x0235…cee5retail+$447
$1.1K at 72¢· pre-match · 11h 7m before· win rate 65.5%
5LucasCosta.0x7786…c005retail+$566
$1.4K at 71¢· pre-match · 11h 7m before· win rate 42.8%
6ad0lf0x2eff…5e83retail+$18
$1.3K at 71¢· pre-match · 10h 28m before· win rate 51.2%
$2.0K at 77¢· pre-match · 9h 54m before· win rate 20.8%
8shaw0x03f4…7e44retail+$1.2K
$3.0K at 72¢· pre-match · 6h 30m before· win rate 53.7%
9StudyPrediction0x33bc…37dcretail+$560
$1.4K at 72¢· pre-match · 3h 19m before· win rate 68.9%
10BlessedKaladin0x7645…3117retail+$870
$2.1K at 71¢· pre-match · 1h 55m before· win rate 50.0%
Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 259 wallets
Top winners
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6ewhale+$54.0K
SportsTrading1230x9a97…3c43retail+$10.6K
RN10x2005…75eawhale+$9.7K
Grand-Access0x4468…b165retail+$7.5K
coolz1220xbdd2…6657retail+$4.9K
Top losers
0x0e3f…abc6retail−$510
JuiceFarm0x40ce…bf90smart−$280
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319whale−$261
chillhouse1230x18a4…3a31retail−$247
topdogbigboi0x5d40…ba95retail−$238
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): Mooseborzoiii, ameisgoat11, vtcchampion52, bobbydobby +4
Smart consensus · at resolution81 wallets
83%NO Aurora Gaming · the winner· from 73% at match start
YES capital
$244.0K
NO capital
$662.1K
Hedged
$47.0K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 83 TRADES ≥ $4,899 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
salgnklasf0xdad3…61cf$83.5K
NO70¢series07:57:24whale
win rate 55.6%lifetime −$251.2K
Mooseborzoiii0x57a8…ebc2$42.0K
sell NO70¢series07:02:25whale
win rate 45.7%lifetime +$1.09M
CORGI80x79ae…9a4a$23.3K
sell NO69¢series07:47:14whale
win rate 40.6%lifetime +$112.3K
Mooseborzoiii0x57a8…ebc2$14.5K
NO58¢handicap07:06:31whale
win rate 45.7%lifetime +$1.09M
Mooseborzoiii0x57a8…ebc2$11.4K
NO57¢handicap06:58:18whale
win rate 45.7%lifetime +$1.09M
lllllllIlll0xe40e…9770$8.1K
YES33¢map 209:14:19whale
win rate 54.7%lifetime −$374.6K
ShadowRealms0x9e07…6e49$7.0K
NO67¢map 209:19:14retail
win rate 54.3%lifetime +$166.1K
swy010xe3d4…2bac$6.9K
NO67¢map 209:30:04retail
win rate 61.8%lifetime −$370.8K
Match markets24 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesCounter-Strike: Nemiga vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage0¢ / 100¢$962.5Kclosedmap 1Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner0¢ / 100¢$399.7Kclosedmap 2Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner0¢ / 100¢$255.9Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 2.50¢ / 100¢$8.0Kclosedseries handicapMap Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)100¢ / 0¢$179.1Kclosedseries handicapMap Handicap: NEMI (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)0¢ / 100¢$1.6Kclosedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.548¢ / 52¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50¢ / 100¢$19closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.549¢ / 51¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs Nemiga (+3.5)0¢ / 100¢$618closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nemiga (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-6.5) vs Nemiga (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nemiga (-9.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+9.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs Nemiga (+3.5)100¢ / 0¢$2.0Kclosedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-6.5) vs Nemiga (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-9.5) vs Nemiga (+9.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-12.5) vs Nemiga (+12.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs Nemiga (+3.5)72¢ / 28¢$0closed
Nemiga 0-2 Aurora Gaming · PGL Masters · match recap | OrcaLayer