CS2ESL Challenger League · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · MOUZ NXT

MOUZ NXT2-1HyperSpirit

ESL Challenger League · Playoffs· Oct 8, 2026 · 17:00–20:34 UTC· 3h 34m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$13.8K
Trades
517
Significant
3 ≥ $500
Low · high
16¢ → 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = MOUZ NXT · 1-min VWAP · rings = 2 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
25¢50¢75¢100¢G1 · MOUZ NXTG1G2 · HyperSpiritG2G3 · MOUZ NXTG316¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 95¢ at 20:29$554 YES · Prickly-Effort$520 NO · kamloicSMART92%39% MOUZ NXT17:0020:34 resolved
smart consensus 92% → 39% YES
G1MOUZ NXT44¢ → 69¢$80
G2HyperSpirit69¢ → 53¢$109
G3MOUZ NXT53¢ → 99.9¢—
Who entered before the reversalMOUZ NXT last traded ≤ 40¢ at G3 · 53:56 · size and avg entry = whole position on the winner · sorted by realized P&L4 wallets
1DefenceOfTheAssets0xe8e1…49ddretail+$93
$206 at 43¢· G3 · 31:39· win rate 53.8%
2calculate100xb35f…cf4cretail+$64
$690 at 53¢· G3 · 25:01· win rate 54.4%
3a55330x758d…5d9ebot+$4
$321 at 56¢· pre-match · 11m before· win rate 33.4%
4BookWarrior0x2e3c…08basmart+$3
$315 at 54¢· G3 · 53:17· win rate 56.1%
Reversal = last time MOUZ NXT traded ≤ 40¢ (G3 · 53:56). Entered = the first fill at that price; size and average entry cover the whole position on the winner, from $100. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 61 wallets
Top winners
AVADAKEDAVRA0xf82f…59bfretail+$880
backbox0xc0f1…8680retail+$248
DefenceOfTheAssets0xe8e1…49ddretail+$93
calculate100xb35f…cf4cretail+$64
Numb-Strudel0x66da…69b0retail+$50
Top losers
Dustar0x75c7…fcccretail−$41
Virtuous-Catalysis0xa951…8a2fretail−$34
Vareg-Hansa0x1a97…90b1retail−$26
Massive-Ocelot-Contrast0x7275…8b45retail−$25
Colala0x9cb3…1367smart−$19
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): El-Toque-De-Midas, RewardFarmilka, testBruno2, kamloic +4
Smart consensus · at resolution15 wallets
39%YES MOUZ NXT · the winner
YES capital
$7.3K
NO capital
$4.9K
Hedged
$303
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 3 TRADES ≥ $500 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
Prickly-Effort0xc74e…e725$554
YES74¢series20:24:27whale
win rate 54.1%lifetime −$36.2K
kamloic0x5901…63a2$520
NO43¢series20:13:55retail
win rate 45.1%lifetime +$39.0K
Match markets14 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
MOUZ NXT 2-1 HyperSpirit · ESL Challenger League · match recap | OrcaLayer