CS2ESL Challenger League · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · MOUZ NXT

MOUZ NXT2-0Dark Moon

ESL Challenger League · Playoffs· Sep 8, 2026 · 13:15–15:25 UTC· 2h 10m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$81.2K
Trades
2,577
Significant
8 ≥ $500
Low · high
45¢ → 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = MOUZ NXT · 1-min VWAP · rings = 0 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
50¢75¢100¢G1 · MOUZ NXTG1G2 · MOUZ NXTG245¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 95¢ at 14:55SMART36%43% MOUZ NXT13:1515:25 resolved
smart consensus 36% → 43% YES
G1MOUZ NXT66¢ → 76¢$22.9K
G2MOUZ NXT76¢ → 99.9¢$7.4K
Biggest buyers of the winnerMOUZ NXT never traded below 43¢ — it was the favourite, so there was no reversal to catch · sorted by size on the winner11 wallets
1antec0x8935…7daaretail−$46
$971 at 67¢· pre-match · 1h 44m before· win rate 50.7%
2pnhkyb0xd2bb…bd8esmart−$1
$898 at 75¢· G1 · 06:11· win rate 57.7%
3ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319whale+$143
$424 at 65¢· G1 · 00:08· win rate 47.0%
4topdogbigboi0x5d40…ba95retail+$206
$402 at 65¢· pre-match · 1h 40m before· win rate 40.6%
5VeryLucky8880x6d3c…d294smart+$14
$321 at 64¢· pre-match · 1h 40m before· win rate 58.4%
6Elderly-Soprano0x0a7c…8964retail+$122
$247 at 67¢· pre-match · 51m before· win rate 52.6%
70x2d2c…00b5retail+$99
$165 at 62¢· pre-match · 1h 40m before· win rate 50.0%
8BookWarrior0x2e3c…08basmart−$16
$154 at 65¢· G1 · 02:32· win rate 56.0%
9phenompoker0xfbf3…70e3retail+$0
$150 at 67¢· pre-match · 1h 37m before· win rate 60.0%
10a55330x758d…5d9ebot−$2
$149 at 66¢· pre-match · 1h 34m before· win rate 37.4%
Entered = their first buy of the winner; size and average entry cover the whole position, from $100. 1 wallet bought the winner only at ≥ 95¢ ($485 in total) — priced as decided, not a bet on the team, so they are counted here and not listed. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 71 wallets
Top winners
topdogbigboi0x5d40…ba95retail+$206
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319whale+$143
Elderly-Soprano0x0a7c…8964retail+$122
0x2d2c…00b5retail+$99
doglover45710x67af…61eebot+$63
Top losers
xreborn0x5135…7217retail−$535
Eminent-Pole0xfb07…e2ccretail−$440
sportmaster7770x32ed…f960smart−$254
edgewarehouse0x7eeb…b6bdretail−$51
antec0x8935…7daaretail−$46
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): Flaky-Integer, 0x0a79…b4bc, iWasEnough, Glorious-Yak +4
Smart consensus · at resolution43 wallets
43%YES MOUZ NXT · the winner· from 36% at match start
YES capital
$14.4K
NO capital
$6.3K
Hedged
$2.3K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 8 TRADES ≥ $500 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
vibing1230x6b97…8d30$1.6K
YES67¢series12:21:55retail
win rate 52.4%lifetime +$230.3K
moneyfloww0x92c9…1f16$683
NO40¢map 113:18:18smart
win rate 88.0%lifetime +$9.1K
Runner120xd9ce…11a2$663
YES82¢map 214:51:15retail
win rate 49.1%lifetime +$6.0K
TommyLeePeeca0x0063…2dd2$561
YES80¢map 114:23:28smart
win rate 71.6%lifetime +$435.7K
Gewin0x9340…e829$500
NO50¢map 113:34:21retail
win rate 45.0%lifetime +$13.7K
Match markets19 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesCounter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Dark Moon (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #6 Playoffs100¢ / 0¢$21.4Kclosedmap 1Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Dark Moon - Map 1 Winner100¢ / 0¢$46.2Kclosedmap 2Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Dark Moon - Map 2 Winner100¢ / 0¢$13.1Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 2.50¢ / 100¢$10closedseries handicapMap Handicap: MOUZ.N (-1.5) vs Dark Moon (+1.5)100¢ / 0¢$2.7Kclosedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100¢ / 0¢$39closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.50¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.50¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50¢ / 100¢$292closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50¢ / 100¢$17closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50¢ / 100¢$10closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ NXT (-3.5) vs Dark Moon (+3.5)0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ NXT (-6.5) vs Dark Moon (+6.5)0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ NXT (-3.5) vs Dark Moon (+3.5)100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ NXT (-6.5) vs Dark Moon (+6.5)100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ NXT (-9.5) vs Dark Moon (+9.5)0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ NXT (-12.5) vs Dark Moon (+12.5)0¢ / 100¢$0closed
MOUZ NXT 2-0 Dark Moon · ESL Challenger League · match recap | OrcaLayer