CS2European Pro League · Group D · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · maybe

maybe2-0Lunacy Team

European Pro League · Group D · Nov 12, 2026 · 12:10–14:16 UTC · 2h 06m · VOD on kick
Volume
$61.6K
Trades
2,371
Significant
3 ≥ $500
Low · high
49¢ → 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = maybe · 1-min VWAP · rings = 0 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
50¢75¢100¢G1 · maybeG1G2 · maybeG243¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 95¢ at 14:13SMART78%95% maybe12:1014:16 resolved
smart consensus leaned maybe from G1 at 60¢ · 78% → 95%
G1maybe49¢ → 68¢$2.7K
G2maybe68¢ → 99.9¢$22.3K
Biggest buyers of the winnermaybe never traded below 38¢ — it was the favourite, so there was no reversal to catch · sorted by size on the winner21 wallets
1antec0x8935…7daaretail−$320
$1.1K at 79¢· G2 · 13:34· win rate 51.5%
2Flaky-Integer0x6e2c…787csmart−$27
$1.1K at 74¢· pre-match· win rate 63.9%
30x0363…cac1retail−$78
$704 at 77¢· G2 · 56:48· win rate 50.1%
43191133313131110x2b55…b98dsmart+$162
$557 at 60¢· G1 · 01:26· win rate 57.6%
5arahbo0x9ab3…3044retail+$311
$531 at 63¢· G1 · 02:02· win rate 41.7%
6a55330x758d…5d9ebot+$20
$492 at 71¢· pre-match · 2h 16m before· win rate 40.2%
7Profitable-Sub-Understanding0x42fb…dc57retail+$55
$399 at 88¢· G2 · 79:34· win rate 55.7%
8dfdeath0x7c8c…2d81retail+$102
$395 at 72¢· G1 · 30:41· win rate 50.3%
9returdmaxxer0xf71a…fa40retail+$35
$372 at 91¢· G2 · 73:52· win rate 75.3%
10Jimmyman1320xf1ee…519cretail+$131
$313 at 71¢· G1 · 25:14· win rate 49.0%
Entered = their first buy of the winner; size and average entry cover the whole position, from $100. 2 wallets bought the winner only at ≥ 95¢ ($1.0K in total) — priced as decided, not a bet on the team, so they are counted here and not listed. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 162 wallets
Top winners
arahbo0x9ab3…3044retail+$311
3191133313131110x2b55…b98dsmart+$162
Well-Worn-Slaw0x4f29…7a7eretail+$143
heije0x2925…5c07retail+$137
Jimmyman1320xf1ee…519cretail+$131
Top losers
6367630xfd14…2267retail−$476
antec0x8935…7daaretail−$320
zalozhen0x186c…1d32retail−$210
masterkopeek0xec5a…cd56retail−$169
Haspyletti0x4b59…52f4retail−$115
Smart consensus · at resolution15 wallets
95%YES maybe · the winner· from 78% at match start
YES capital
$9.1K
NO capital
$4.2K
Hedged
$1.9K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 3 TRADES ≥ $500 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
JohnLKellyJr0xddc3…029c$929
YES52¢map 213:44:31smart
win rate 55.6%lifetime +$88.2K
JohnLKellyJr0xddc3…029c$834
YES57¢map 213:51:40smart
win rate 55.6%lifetime +$88.2K
JohnLKellyJr0xddc3…029c$514
YES49¢map 213:44:26smart
win rate 55.6%lifetime +$88.2K
More from this tournamentEuropean Pro League 2026 →
Match markets21 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesCounter-Strike: maybe vs Lunacy Team (BO3) - European Pro League Group D100¢ / 0¢$16.0Kclosedmap 1Counter-Strike: maybe vs Lunacy Team - Map 1 Winner100¢ / 0¢$5.0Kclosedmap 2Counter-Strike: maybe vs Lunacy Team - Map 2 Winner100¢ / 0¢$40.5Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 2.526¢ / 75¢$0closedseries handicapMap Handicap: maybe (-1.5) vs Lunacy Team (+1.5)100¢ / 0¢$30closedseries handicapMap Handicap: LT (-1.5) vs maybe (+1.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5— / —$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.5— / —$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 36.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 39.51¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: maybe (-3.5) vs Lunacy Team (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: maybe (-6.5) vs Lunacy Team (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: maybe (-9.5) vs Lunacy Team (+9.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Lunacy Team (-3.5) vs maybe (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Lunacy Team (-6.5) vs maybe (+6.5)— / —$0closed
maybe 2-0 Lunacy Team · European Pro League · match recap | OrcaLayer