CS2ESL Challenger League · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · maybe

maybe2-0LPH Gaming

ESL Challenger League · Playoffs· Oct 23, 2026 · 17:00–19:26 UTC· 2h 26m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$61.5K
Trades
1,402
Significant
11 ≥ $500
Low · high
36¢ → 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = maybe · 1-min VWAP · rings = 0 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
25¢50¢75¢100¢G1 · maybeG1G2 · maybeG236¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 95¢ at 19:25SMART24%95% maybe17:0019:26 resolved
smart consensus leaned MAYBE from G1 at 53¢ · 24% → 95%
G1maybe53¢ → 68¢$13.4K
G2maybe68¢ → 95¢$12.3K
Biggest buyers of the winnermaybe never traded below 33¢ — it was the favourite, so there was no reversal to catch · sorted by size on the winner8 wallets
1antec0x8935…7daaretail−$474
$488 at 64¢· G2 · 00:19· win rate 50.7%
2pnhkyb0xd2bb…bd8esmart−$53
$329 at 65¢· G2 · 32:04· win rate 57.7%
3RITALINEWITHSNUS0x9d91…6816retail+$17
$240 at 56¢· pre-match · 4m before· win rate 48.9%
4RandomGameBet0x904e…0becsmart−$51
$125 at 67¢· G1 · 69:13· win rate 57.2%
5UnSmartMan0xf743…1811retail+$55
$111 at 67¢· G2 · 01:34· win rate 52.9%
$111 at 56¢· pre-match · 6m before· win rate 19.9%
7EH-10x1df6…cba0retail−$15
$105 at 59¢· pre-match · 7m before· win rate 50.8%
8a55330x758d…5d9ebot+$0
$100 at 61¢· pre-match · 4m before· win rate 37.4%
Entered = their first buy of the winner; size and average entry cover the whole position, from $100. 5 wallets bought the winner only at ≥ 95¢ ($6.4K in total) — priced as decided, not a bet on the team, so they are counted here and not listed. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 72 wallets
Top winners
UnSmartMan0xf743…1811retail+$55
Virtuous-Catalysis0xa951…8a2fretail+$27
RITALINEWITHSNUS0x9d91…6816retail+$17
retot0x9473…cba4retail+$14
ngrasfnbrla0xcb47…4737retail+$11
Top losers
antec0x8935…7daaretail−$474
pnhkyb0xd2bb…bd8esmart−$53
RandomGameBet0x904e…0becsmart−$51
EH-10x1df6…cba0retail−$15
edgewarehouse0x7eeb…b6bdretail−$14
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): patitec, Pointless-Teriyaki, babayan1, Confused-Alias +4
Smart consensus · at resolution11 wallets
95%YES maybe · the winner· from 24% at match start
YES capital
$7.2K
NO capital
$6.7K
Hedged
$3.6K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 11 TRADES ≥ $500 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
JohnLKellyJr0xddc3…029c$639
YES41¢map 218:40:49smart
win rate 56.2%lifetime +$435.9K
Match markets12 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS