CS2Exort Fiesta · Group Stage · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Dark Moon

Lilmix1-2Dark Moon

Exort Fiesta · Group Stage· Oct 30, 2026 · 09:10–11:43 UTC· 2h 33m· VOD on kick
Volume
$35.3K
Trades
918
Significant
11 ≥ $500
Low · high
0.1¢ → 51¢
Price path · full matchYES = Lilmix · 1-min VWAP · rings = 2 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
0¢25¢50¢G1 · Dark MoonG1G2 · LilmixG2G3 · Dark MoonG30¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 5¢ at 10:19$3.8K NO · 0x7034…f3ad$2.6K YES · skibidipaSMART0%11% Dark Moon09:1011:43 resolved
smart consensus 100% → 89% YES
G1Dark Moon46¢ → 30¢$20
G2Lilmix30¢ → 33¢$7.3K
G3Dark Moon33¢ → 0.1¢—
Biggest buyers of the winnerDark Moon never traded below 46¢ — it was the favourite, so there was no reversal to catch · sorted by size on the winner13 wallets
10x6891…6bb9bot−$24
$606 at 75¢· pre-match · 14m before· win rate 22.1%
2alpheclabs20x7263…0851retail+$157
$525 at 77¢· G3 · 26:50· win rate 47.2%
3daddyradar0xbdab…b999smart+$304
$476 at 61¢· G3 · 56:56· win rate 62.9%
4a55330x758d…5d9ebot−$29
$443 at 80¢· G2 · 12:33· win rate 39.1%
57figtc0x6a90…c2e3retail+$93
$310 at 77¢· G3 · 26:18· win rate 52.6%
6amznputs0xce42…9090retail+$60
$263 at 76¢· G3 · 26:50· win rate 46.4%
7Sweaty-Wasabi0xaeb9…59f9retail−$6
$140 at 73¢· G3 · 21:38· win rate 53.3%
8Forked-Down-Shearling0x91e6…0a20retail+$35
$127 at 78¢· G3 · 26:15· win rate 46.4%
9poshposh0xc4fe…601fbot+$36
$125 at 75¢· G3 · 02:24· win rate 47.2%
10..........0x1285…6a2fretail+$80
$120 at 60¢· G3 · 55:43· win rate 54.9%
Entered = their first buy of the winner; size and average entry cover the whole position, from $100. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 87 wallets
Top winners
daddyradar0xbdab…b999smart+$304
alpheclabs20x7263…0851retail+$157
7figtc0x6a90…c2e3retail+$93
..........0x1285…6a2fretail+$80
amznputs0xce42…9090retail+$60
Top losers
skibidipa0x2018…0e63smart−$2.6K
NotJump0xf1f2…8c8dretail−$167
Neat-Robot0xa3c2…df3dbot−$145
topdogbigboi0x5d40…ba95retail−$91
2104140x117a…def6retail−$36
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): pojitik, Hellblazzzer, 0xbab8…7edb, rainzr +4
Smart consensus · at resolution13 wallets
11%NO Dark Moon · the winner· from 0% at match start
YES capital
$6.3K
NO capital
$11.3K
Hedged
$3.1K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 11 TRADES ≥ $500 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
NO57¢series11:00:55retail
win rate unknownlifetime unknown
skibidipa0x2018…0e63$2.6K
YES43¢series11:00:55smart
win rate 67.7%lifetime +$20.0K
YES50¢map 210:33:31retail
win rate unknownlifetime unknown
swiftFoxx0xaaad…29e0$2.5K
NO50¢map 210:33:31smart
win rate 72.4%lifetime +$56.8K
NO74¢series10:54:50retail
win rate unknownlifetime unknown
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