CS2ESL Challenger League · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Chinggis Warriors

Kaleido Gaming1-2Chinggis Warriors

ESL Challenger League · Playoffs· Oct 11, 2026 · 13:00–15:39 UTC· 2h 39m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$262.0K
Trades
5,453
Significant
48 ≥ $500
Low · high
0.1¢ → 69¢
Price path · full matchYES = Kaleido Gaming · 1-min VWAP · rings = 6 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
0¢25¢50¢75¢G1 · Kaleido GamingG1G2 · Chinggis Warrio…G2G3 · Chinggis Warrio…G30¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 5¢ at 15:31$2.7K YES · NeoBookScore2$1.9K NO · suntori$1.4K NO · Hasty-Bowler$860 YES · lma0o0o0o$849 NO · MaciBetting23$818 NO · Sove1gnSMART10%33% Chinggis Warr…13:0015:39 resolved
smart consensus 90% → 67% YES
G1Kaleido Gaming40¢ → 60¢$6.0K
G2Chinggis Warriors60¢ → 43¢$18.6K
G3Chinggis Warriors43¢ → 0.1¢—
Who entered before the reversalChinggis Warriors last traded ≤ 40¢ at G2 · 48:00 · size and avg entry = whole position on the winner · sorted by realized P&L20 wallets
1xreborn0x5135…7217retail+$529
$675 at 56¢· pre-match · 4h 18m before· win rate 56.4%
2alpheclabs0xb4d2…ce99retail+$209
$495 at 31¢· G2 · 47:23· win rate 44.6%
317accountant0x4dec…de48retail+$23
$224 at 56¢· G2 · 42:39· win rate 82.8%
4sdfasfddd0x4cd4…8a5cretail+$6
$103 at 52¢· G2 · 11:54· win rate 44.7%
5EH-10x1df6…cba0retail+$2
$189 at 63¢· G1 · 35:10· win rate 50.6%
6Sweaty-Wasabi0xaeb9…59f9retail+$0
$220 at 64¢· G2 · 07:53· win rate 53.1%
73191133313131110x2b55…b98dretail−$7
$432 at 61¢· G1 · 30:43· win rate 52.9%
8brobrobrobrobro0xca0b…67e0retail−$9
$565 at 60¢· G1 · 28:47· win rate 50.0%
$1.0K at 63¢· pre-match · 4h 17m before· win rate 15.7%
10a55330x758d…5d9ebot−$24
$2.7K at 65¢· pre-match · 4h 29m before· win rate 34.4%
Reversal = last time Chinggis Warriors traded ≤ 40¢ (G2 · 48:00). Entered = the first fill at that price; size and average entry cover the whole position on the winner, from $100. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 145 wallets
Top winners
xreborn0x5135…7217retail+$529
playboyisinthehouse0x5bbe…c65dretail+$227
alpheclabs0xb4d2…ce99retail+$209
bastet90x353b…e535smart+$195
XiYe0x6bf1…3db0retail+$44
Top losers
calculate100xb35f…cf4cretail−$1.9K
pnhkyb0xd2bb…bd8esmart−$1.4K
cigarettes0xd218…b5c9retail−$435
sslavaga0x37c1…8de1retail−$260
KaozrD0x8213…711csmart−$198
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): suntori, kowmdwokdmwdkwmd, NeoBookScore2, dabossrealman +4
Smart consensus · at resolution79 wallets
33%NO Chinggis Warriors · the winner· from 10% at match start
YES capital
$75.9K
NO capital
$84.7K
Hedged
$9.6K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 48 TRADES ≥ $500 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
NeoBookScore20xe1f3…5402$2.7K
YES67¢series14:33:04smart
win rate 60.5%lifetime +$191.4K
NeoBookScore20xe1f3…5402$2.1K
sell YES50¢series14:00:22smart
win rate 60.5%lifetime +$191.4K
suntori0xe907…cff6$1.9K
NO62¢series14:54:41hedgerwhale
win rate 41.4%lifetime −$7.49M
Hasty-Bowler0xa3d7…4084$1.4K
NO88¢series15:23:34retail
win rate 57.1%lifetime −$2.6K
NeoBookScore20xe1f3…5402$1.1K
sell YES37¢series14:37:46smart
win rate 60.5%lifetime +$191.4K
NeoBookScore20xe1f3…5402$1.0K
YES51¢series14:34:55smart
win rate 60.5%lifetime +$191.4K
NeoBookScore20xe1f3…5402$1.0K
YES54¢map 214:30:08smart
win rate 60.5%lifetime +$191.4K
NeoBookScore20xe1f3…5402$1.0K
YES33¢map 214:27:34smart
win rate 60.5%lifetime +$191.4K
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