CS2Stake Ranked · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Astralis

Inner Circle Esports1-2Astralis

Stake Ranked · Playoffs· Oct 29, 2026 · 13:00–16:14 UTC· 3h 14m· VOD on kick
Volume
$1.2M
Trades
6,439
Significant
51 ≥ $2,142
Low · high
0.1¢ → 82¢
Price path · full matchYES = Inner Circle Esports · 1-min VWAP · rings = 1 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
0¢25¢50¢75¢G1 · Inner Circle Es…G1G2 · AstralisG2G3 · AstralisG30¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 5¢ at 15:49$6.5K YES · RN1SMART97%95% Astralis13:0016:14 resolved
smart consensus leaned Astralis from 13:00 at 60¢ · 97% → 95%
G1Inner Circle Esports39¢ → 73¢$108.8K
G2Astralis73¢ → 43¢$162.4K
G3Astralis43¢ → 0.1¢—
Walls eatena resting order of $10K+ taken out in under 90 s · the maker is revealed by the fills that hit it · largest first1
WALL EATEN39¢ · $11.6K bid wall gone instantly$6.7K eaten · $4.9K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:vibing123+1 more on the same level· 71% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Nnnhhhhwwwjh $6.7K· 2 fills
Who entered before the reversalAstralis last traded ≤ 40¢ at G2 · 67:45 · size and avg entry = whole position on the winner · sorted by realized P&L18 wallets
1pnhct0x9f63…9551smart+$1.6K
$20.0K at 65¢· G1 · 18:55· win rate 56.7%
2RN10x2005…75earetail+$778
$25.3K at 56¢· G1 · 20:31· win rate 51.6%
3iii2520xed44…4f76smart+$733
$23.5K at 76¢· G1 · 23:43· win rate 59.1%
4TommyLeePeeca0x0063…2dd2smart+$602
$3.9K at 48¢· G1 · 17:55· win rate 66.8%
5Irresponsible-Autumn0xd9e0…05f2smart+$421
$3.1K at 56¢· G1 · 18:55· win rate 59.2%
6Black-Facility0x51db…f9b3bot+$98
$423 at 37¢· G1 · 28:37· win rate 52.3%
7BookWarrior0x2e3c…08basmart+$92
$756 at 52¢· G1 · 22:02· win rate 55.9%
8a55330x758d…5d9ebot+$22
$1.3K at 80¢· G1 · 28:37· win rate 39.0%
9antec0x8935…7daaretail+$20
$146 at 44¢· G1 · 21:37· win rate 50.9%
10Unusual-Metallurgist0xc925…6d24retail+$15
$351 at 54¢· G1 · 17:55· win rate 47.4%
Reversal = last time Astralis traded ≤ 40¢ (G2 · 67:45). Entered = the first fill at that price; size and average entry cover the whole position on the winner, from $100. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 244 wallets
Top winners
Grand-Access0x4468…b165retail+$7.8K
rookiaski0x1648…e4cfretail+$4.0K
BlessedKaladin0x7645…3117retail+$2.9K
mrmyster690xe04e…a42aretail+$2.7K
LaminionYamal0x182d…73e9retail+$2.3K
Top losers
vibing1230x6b97…8d30retail−$5.0K
Denv0x66d5…9e9fretail−$4.8K
eth100010x37e0…024eretail−$3.9K
0x7482…dac7retail−$3.4K
Gelatin1110x806a…b7daretail−$2.5K
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): aaaa298, ameisgoat11, Favorable-Pepper-Brushing, Stiff-Desktop +4
Smart consensus · at resolution103 wallets
95%NO Astralis · the winner· from 97% at match start
YES capital
$265.6K
NO capital
$455.5K
Hedged
$139.8K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 51 TRADES ≥ $2,142 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
RN10x2005…75ea$6.5K
YES67¢series14:22:05hedger
win rate 51.6%lifetime +$12.95M
Unknownpoluy0xd17a…9900$3.5K
YES37¢map 214:59:48retail
win rate 44.7%lifetime +$9.9K
gggjajnsnn0xa8a1…2974$3.0K
YES36¢map 215:00:39retail
win rate 33.7%lifetime −$242.8K
NO62¢map 113:48:39retail
win rate 48.8%lifetime +$155
omnibus-076daa0x076d…8d4c$2.9K
YES44¢map 214:24:33whale
win rate 49.9%lifetime +$5.68M
Neimuking0xc3f8…60d6$2.8K
NO50¢map 113:05:41retail
win rate 55.2%lifetime −$27.4K
LFGGGGGGGGGGGGG0xf61a…5943$2.8K
YES54¢map 214:22:36retail
win rate 54.0%lifetime −$22.4K
95279660x2c4c…ace7$2.7K
YES89¢map 113:25:03smart
win rate 87.2%lifetime +$29.5K
Match markets34 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesCounter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs0¢ / 100¢$697.2Kclosedmap 1Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner100¢ / 0¢$200.3Kclosedmap 2Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner0¢ / 100¢$320.9Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 2.5100¢ / 0¢$147closedseries handicapMap Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+1.5)0¢ / 100¢$1.0Kclosedseries handicapMap Handicap: ICE (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)0¢ / 100¢$1.4Kclosedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5— / —$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100¢ / 0¢$339closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.517¢ / 83¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100¢ / 0¢$465closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.516¢ / 84¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100¢ / 0¢$387closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50¢ / 100¢$14closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Inner Circle Esports (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5)0¢ / 100¢$429closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+3.5)0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-6.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Inner Circle Esports (-6.5) vs Astralis (+6.5)0¢ / 100¢$71closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Inner Circle Esports (-9.5) vs Astralis (+9.5)— / —$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Inner Circle Esports (-12.5) vs Astralis (+12.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+3.5)64¢ / 37¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Inner Circle Esports (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5)0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-6.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Inner Circle Esports (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5)0¢ / 100¢$19closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+3.5)100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-6.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-9.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+9.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-12.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+12.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closed
Inner Circle Esports 1-2 Astralis · Stake Ranked · match recap | OrcaLayer