CS2Thunderpick World Championship · Group B · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · HOTU

HOTU2-0Wildcard

Thunderpick World Championship · Group B· Sep 9, 2026 · 08:00–09:42 UTC· 1h 42m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$221.5K
Trades
1,648
Significant
32 ≥ $1,839
Low · high
61¢ → 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = HOTU · 1-min VWAP · rings = 0 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
50¢60¢70¢80¢90¢100¢G1 · HOTUG1G2 · HOTUG260¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 95¢ at 09:28SMART70%71% HOTU08:0009:42 resolved
smart consensus leaned HOTU from G1 at 62¢ · 70% → 71%
G1HOTU62¢ → 79¢$91.7K
G2HOTU79¢ → 98¢$14.0K
Walls eatena resting order of $10K+ taken out in under 90 s · the maker is revealed by the fills that hit it · largest first1
WALL EATEN86¢ · $11.4K bid wall gone in 18s$5.8K eaten · $2.7K pulled · $2.9K still theremap 1
Maker revealed by fills:0x31e5…4879· 100% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Difficult-Artificer $3.7K· ccllar $627· aannikk $627· +6 more· 16 fills
Earliest big buyersfirst HOTU buy ≥ $1K · by time3 wallets
1Excession60xaf1a…ba1esmart+$1.8K
$3.2K at 64¢· pre-match · 11h 44m before· win rate 57.2%
2nothingtoint0xe46d…7e4dretail+$1.7K
$2.8K at 62¢· pre-match · 10m before· win rate 49.4%
3Striped-Refuse0xabf5…cfebretail+$950
$1.6K at 62¢· pre-match · 9m before· win rate 52.1%
Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 89 wallets
Top winners
Excession60xaf1a…ba1esmart+$1.8K
nothingtoint0xe46d…7e4dretail+$1.7K
Striped-Refuse0xabf5…cfebretail+$950
xreborn0x5135…7217retail+$510
Gl4d0x1e3a…9e14smart+$426
Top losers
ForgedFortune0x2aec…ea65retail−$5.5K
Stickman220xb9ab…f282retail−$1.1K
ForAndWithYou0xc34b…9296retail−$1.0K
Meowtchi0x0e50…2609retail−$856
carmelasoprano10xb99c…7e96retail−$605
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): Flaky-Integer, humbleboy, Rash-Barometer, mmklop +4
Smart consensus · at resolution61 wallets
71%YES HOTU · the winner· from 70% at match start
YES capital
$50.0K
NO capital
$28.3K
Hedged
$39.4K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 32 TRADES ≥ $1,839 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
Difficult-Artificer0x7462…3ac3$1.8K
sell YES86¢map 108:32:57retail
win rate 54.2%lifetime −$27
Difficult-Artificer0x7462…3ac3$1.8K
sell YES86¢map 108:32:46retail
win rate 54.2%lifetime −$27
Difficult-Artificer0x7462…3ac3$1.8K
sell YES86¢map 108:32:36retail
win rate 54.2%lifetime −$27
RobaRoba18180xa83f…b857$1.5K
sell YES86¢map 108:33:00smart
win rate 72.5%lifetime +$2.6K
Difficult-Artificer0x7462…3ac3$1.5K
sell YES83¢map 108:29:57retail
win rate 54.2%lifetime −$27
Difficult-Artificer0x7462…3ac3$1.5K
sell YES83¢map 108:29:46retail
win rate 54.2%lifetime −$27
Difficult-Artificer0x7462…3ac3$1.5K
sell YES83¢map 108:29:40retail
win rate 54.2%lifetime −$27
Difficult-Artificer0x7462…3ac3$1.5K
sell YES83¢map 108:29:33retail
win rate 54.2%lifetime −$27
Match markets19 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesCounter-Strike: HOTU vs Wildcard (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Group B100¢ / 0¢$80.0Kclosedmap 1Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Wildcard - Map 1 Winner100¢ / 0¢$108.8Kclosedmap 2Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winner100¢ / 0¢$29.4Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 2.50¢ / 100¢$392closedseries handicapMap Handicap: HOTU (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5)100¢ / 0¢$2.8Kclosedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100¢ / 0¢$10closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50¢ / 100¢$51closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50¢ / 100¢$10closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50¢ / 100¢$34closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550¢ / 50¢$9closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: HOTU (-3.5) vs Wildcard (+3.5)100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: HOTU (-6.5) vs Wildcard (+6.5)0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: HOTU (-9.5) vs Wildcard (+9.5)0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: HOTU (-3.5) vs Wildcard (+3.5)100¢ / 0¢$11closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: HOTU (-6.5) vs Wildcard (+6.5)100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: HOTU (-9.5) vs Wildcard (+9.5)0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: HOTU (-12.5) vs Wildcard (+12.5)0¢ / 100¢$0closed
HOTU 2-0 Wildcard · Thunderpick World Championship · match recap | OrcaLayer