CS21win · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · fnatic

HOTU1-2fnatic

1win · Playoffs· Oct 10, 2026 · 10:00–12:27 UTC· 2h 27m
Volume
$192.9K
Trades
1,610
Significant
20 ≥ $1,440
Low · high
0.1¢ → 78¢
Price path · full matchYES = HOTU · 1-min VWAP · rings = 0 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
0¢25¢50¢75¢G1 · HOTUG1G2 · fnaticG2G3 · fnaticG30¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 5¢ at 12:26SMART18%21% fnatic10:0012:27 resolved
smart consensus 82% → 79% YES
G1HOTU51¢ → 73¢$15.3K
G2fnatic73¢ → 48¢$9.7K
G3fnatic48¢ → 1¢—
Walls eatena resting order of $10K+ taken out in under 90 s · the maker is revealed by the fills that hit it · largest first1
WALL EATEN49¢ · $25.7K ask wall gone instantly$23.3K eaten · $2.4K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:0x3eb3…6a2awhale· 100% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· eschaworldchampion2026 $23.3K· 1 fill
Who entered before the reversalfnatic last traded ≤ 40¢ at G3 · 42:18 · size and avg entry = whole position on the winner · sorted by realized P&L9 wallets
1BACKTESTEOCARAIO10x7d67…5f14smart+$421
$1.1K at 55¢· G1 · 11:12· win rate 64.2%
2lllllllIlll0xe40e…9770whale+$419
$155 at 27¢· G1 · 43:51· win rate 55.4%
3Autob10x52ca…2f11retail+$129
$200 at 57¢· G1 · 05:43· win rate 54.8%
4topdogbigboi0x5d40…ba95retail+$66
$126 at 60¢· G1 · 05:42· win rate 40.5%
$234 at 54¢· G1 · 27:38· win rate 15.3%
6a55330x758d…5d9ebot−$18
$408 at 61¢· G1 · 27:45· win rate 34.0%
7Irresponsible-Autumn0xd9e0…05f2smart−$25
$802 at 55¢· G1 · 11:12· win rate 59.5%
8Unusual-Metallurgist0xc925…6d24retail−$27
$130 at 38¢· G1 · 27:38· win rate 48.0%
9antec0x8935…7daaretail−$140
$291 at 58¢· G1 · 27:38· win rate 50.5%
Reversal = last time fnatic traded ≤ 40¢ (G3 · 42:18). Entered = the first fill at that price; size and average entry cover the whole position on the winner, from $100. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 129 wallets
Top winners
Quick-Slippers0xa413…6c4aretail+$2.4K
hasobidale0x8be4…a700smart+$752
Writhing-Round0x1583…bdderetail+$580
BACKTESTEOCARAIO10x7d67…5f14smart+$421
lllllllIlll0xe40e…9770whale+$419
Top losers
0x9e07…6e49retail−$4.8K
Excession60xaf1a…ba1esmart−$3.0K
Stickman220xb9ab…f282retail−$1.7K
nobody2somebody0x8adb…e4f6retail−$1.4K
RN10x2005…75eawhale−$1.2K
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): aaaa298, Black-Facility, Blind-Desk, buen0 +4
Smart consensus · at resolution57 wallets
21%NO fnatic · the winner· from 18% at match start
YES capital
$65.8K
NO capital
$71.4K
Hedged
$12.8K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 20 TRADES ≥ $1,440 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
eschaworldchampion20260x7b6c…6305$25.1K
YES49¢series09:31:45whale
win rate 44.8%lifetime +$19.9K
CORGI80x79ae…9a4a$8.6K
NO52¢series09:01:05whale
win rate 40.8%lifetime +$74.2K
Excession60xaf1a…ba1e$3.0K
YES48¢series09:01:05smart
win rate 56.9%lifetime +$69.4K
petkopi4a0x3a50…241e$1.0K
NO57¢map 210:52:59retail
win rate 47.7%lifetime +$12.8K
iii2520xed44…4f76$930
NO93¢map 211:26:23smart
win rate 59.1%lifetime +$258.9K
aaaa2980x4ebc…a33d$905
YES71¢map 110:35:08hedgersmart
win rate 63.7%lifetime +$904.8K
aaaa2980x4ebc…a33d$641
YES70¢map 110:14:27smart
win rate 63.7%lifetime +$904.8K
aaaa2980x4ebc…a33d$605
NO94¢map 211:26:32hedgersmart
win rate 63.7%lifetime +$904.8K
Match markets21 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesCounter-Strike: HOTU vs fnatic (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs0¢ / 100¢$150.2Kclosedmap 1Counter-Strike: HOTU vs fnatic - Map 1 Winner100¢ / 0¢$24.0Kclosedmap 2Counter-Strike: HOTU vs fnatic - Map 2 Winner0¢ / 100¢$18.1Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 2.5100¢ / 0¢$20closedseries handicapMap Handicap: HOTU (-1.5) vs fnatic (+1.5)0¢ / 100¢$10closedseries handicapMap Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5)0¢ / 100¢$628closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: fnatic (-3.5) vs HOTU (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: HOTU (-3.5) vs fnatic (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: HOTU (-6.5) vs fnatic (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: HOTU (-9.5) vs fnatic (+9.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: fnatic (-3.5) vs HOTU (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: fnatic (-6.5) vs HOTU (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: fnatic (-9.5) vs HOTU (+9.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: fnatic (-3.5) vs HOTU (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: fnatic (-6.5) vs HOTU (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closed
HOTU 1-2 fnatic · 1win · match recap | OrcaLayer